Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district race due to the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. McClellan advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell contend with minimal fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Richmond-centered district. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in comparably safe seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,614 Vol.
$41,614 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェニファー・マクレラン（民主党）
96%
ロバート・マレー（共和党）
2%
$41,614 Vol.
$41,614 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェニファー・マクレラン（民主党）
$12,217 Vol.
96%
ロバート・マレー（共和党）
$29,397 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district race due to the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. McClellan advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell contend with minimal fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Richmond-centered district. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in comparably safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$41,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district race due to the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. McClellan advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell contend with minimal fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Richmond-centered district. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in comparably safe seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding position in Virginia’s 4th congressional district race due to the seat’s entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. McClellan advanced unopposed after the Democratic primary was canceled, while Republican nominee Robert Murray and independent Joan Bell contend with minimal fundraising and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. All major forecasters classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the Richmond-centered district. A late-breaking scandal, health event, or unanticipated national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome, though such developments remain rare in comparably safe seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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