Virginia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Jennifer McClellan faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while independent challengers in the general election show minimal viability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee stems from this structural advantage and absence of credible Republican recruitment. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment could still introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,277 Vol.
93%
共和党
$2,151 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Jennifer McClellan faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while independent challengers in the general election show minimal viability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee stems from this structural advantage and absence of credible Republican recruitment. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment could still introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$5,427終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Jennifer McClellan faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while independent challengers in the general election show minimal viability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee stems from this structural advantage and absence of credible Republican recruitment. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment could still introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$5,427終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results. Incumbent Jennifer McClellan faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026, contest and holds a substantial fundraising edge, while independent challengers in the general election show minimal viability. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, aligning with the district's consistent performance in prior cycles. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic nominee stems from this structural advantage and absence of credible Republican recruitment. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unforeseen national political realignment could still introduce volatility before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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