The CO-04 race centers on Republican incumbent Lauren Boebert seeking reelection in a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The seat's partisan voting index around R+9, rural Eastern Plains base, and suburban exurbs like Castle Rock and Parker have produced consistent GOP margins, including Boebert's 53.6% victory in 2024. These structural factors anchor trader consensus near 61% for the Republican nominee ahead of the June 30 primaries. Democratic challenger Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, has raised multimillion-dollar sums that exceed Boebert's recent cash position, yet the district's voting patterns and lack of competitive polling shifts have kept implied probabilities stable, with limited movement from recent campaign finance disclosures or candidate announcements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
61%
民主党
34%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,824 Vol.
61%
民主党
$761 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The CO-04 race centers on Republican incumbent Lauren Boebert seeking reelection in a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The seat's partisan voting index around R+9, rural Eastern Plains base, and suburban exurbs like Castle Rock and Parker have produced consistent GOP margins, including Boebert's 53.6% victory in 2024. These structural factors anchor trader consensus near 61% for the Republican nominee ahead of the June 30 primaries. Democratic challenger Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, has raised multimillion-dollar sums that exceed Boebert's recent cash position, yet the district's voting patterns and lack of competitive polling shifts have kept implied probabilities stable, with limited movement from recent campaign finance disclosures or candidate announcements.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$8,585終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The CO-04 race centers on Republican incumbent Lauren Boebert seeking reelection in a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The seat's partisan voting index around R+9, rural Eastern Plains base, and suburban exurbs like Castle Rock and Parker have produced consistent GOP margins, including Boebert's 53.6% victory in 2024. These structural factors anchor trader consensus near 61% for the Republican nominee ahead of the June 30 primaries. Democratic challenger Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, has raised multimillion-dollar sums that exceed Boebert's recent cash position, yet the district's voting patterns and lack of competitive polling shifts have kept implied probabilities stable, with limited movement from recent campaign finance disclosures or candidate announcements.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,585終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The CO-04 race centers on Republican incumbent Lauren Boebert seeking reelection in a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The seat's partisan voting index around R+9, rural Eastern Plains base, and suburban exurbs like Castle Rock and Parker have produced consistent GOP margins, including Boebert's 53.6% victory in 2024. These structural factors anchor trader consensus near 61% for the Republican nominee ahead of the June 30 primaries. Democratic challenger Eileen Laubacher, a retired Navy rear admiral, has raised multimillion-dollar sums that exceed Boebert's recent cash position, yet the district's voting patterns and lack of competitive polling shifts have kept implied probabilities stable, with limited movement from recent campaign finance disclosures or candidate announcements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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