Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote, facing Republican Monique DeSpain in the November general election for Oregon’s 4th congressional district. The district’s D+6 partisan voting index and Hoyle’s 2024 victory margin underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican investment and structural advantages for the incumbent in a midterm cycle. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries concluded in late May, leaving the general election trajectory largely stable heading into the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,774 Vol.
$11,774 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
88%
共和党
7%
$11,774 Vol.
$11,774 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,149 Vol.
88%
共和党
$2,626 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote, facing Republican Monique DeSpain in the November general election for Oregon’s 4th congressional district. The district’s D+6 partisan voting index and Hoyle’s 2024 victory margin underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican investment and structural advantages for the incumbent in a midterm cycle. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries concluded in late May, leaving the general election trajectory largely stable heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$11,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote, facing Republican Monique DeSpain in the November general election for Oregon’s 4th congressional district. The district’s D+6 partisan voting index and Hoyle’s 2024 victory margin underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican investment and structural advantages for the incumbent in a midterm cycle. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries concluded in late May, leaving the general election trajectory largely stable heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured renomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly three-quarters of the vote, facing Republican Monique DeSpain in the November general election for Oregon’s 4th congressional district. The district’s D+6 partisan voting index and Hoyle’s 2024 victory margin underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican investment and structural advantages for the incumbent in a midterm cycle. No major shifts have emerged since the primaries concluded in late May, leaving the general election trajectory largely stable heading into the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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