Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 4th congressional district in the May 19 primary with roughly 78% of the vote, facing limited opposition from two challengers. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain also advanced comfortably in her primary. The district, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and parts of the southern Oregon coast, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. With the November general election still months away, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, primary consolidation, and district partisan lean, while noting that broader national midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,774 Vol.
$11,774 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
88%
共和党
7%
$11,774 Vol.
$11,774 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,149 Vol.
88%
共和党
$2,626 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 4th congressional district in the May 19 primary with roughly 78% of the vote, facing limited opposition from two challengers. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain also advanced comfortably in her primary. The district, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and parts of the southern Oregon coast, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. With the November general election still months away, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, primary consolidation, and district partisan lean, while noting that broader national midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$11,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 4th congressional district in the May 19 primary with roughly 78% of the vote, facing limited opposition from two challengers. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain also advanced comfortably in her primary. The district, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and parts of the southern Oregon coast, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. With the November general election still months away, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, primary consolidation, and district partisan lean, while noting that broader national midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments could influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,774終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination for Oregon's 4th congressional district in the May 19 primary with roughly 78% of the vote, facing limited opposition from two challengers. Republican nominee Monique DeSpain also advanced comfortably in her primary. The district, encompassing Eugene, Corvallis, and parts of the southern Oregon coast, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, and nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic. With the November general election still months away, trader consensus reflects the structural advantages of incumbency, primary consolidation, and district partisan lean, while noting that broader national midterm dynamics or late-cycle developments could influence final margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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