Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, his established record since 2017, and unopposed primary victory. Recent redistricting incorporated more of Shelby County's suburban areas while retaining rural West Tennessee strongholds, preserving a partisan environment where Republicans have consistently won by double-digit margins. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, who secured her primary with roughly 52 percent after losing a mayoral bid, faces structural barriers including lower fundraising visibility and the district's voting patterns. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,353 Vol.
$43,353 Vol.
2026/11/03
デビッド・カストフ（共和党）
96%
ハイディ・クーン（民主党）
2%
$43,353 Vol.
$43,353 Vol.
2026/11/03
デビッド・カストフ（共和党）
$22,917 Vol.
96%
ハイディ・クーン（民主党）
$20,436 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, his established record since 2017, and unopposed primary victory. Recent redistricting incorporated more of Shelby County's suburban areas while retaining rural West Tennessee strongholds, preserving a partisan environment where Republicans have consistently won by double-digit margins. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, who secured her primary with roughly 52 percent after losing a mayoral bid, faces structural barriers including lower fundraising visibility and the district's voting patterns. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$43,353終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, his established record since 2017, and unopposed primary victory. Recent redistricting incorporated more of Shelby County's suburban areas while retaining rural West Tennessee strongholds, preserving a partisan environment where Republicans have consistently won by double-digit margins. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, who secured her primary with roughly 52 percent after losing a mayoral bid, faces structural barriers including lower fundraising visibility and the district's voting patterns. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,353終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2f5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Kustoff holds a commanding lead in the TN-08 race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, his established record since 2017, and unopposed primary victory. Recent redistricting incorporated more of Shelby County's suburban areas while retaining rural West Tennessee strongholds, preserving a partisan environment where Republicans have consistently won by double-digit margins. Democratic nominee Heidi Kuhn, who secured her primary with roughly 52 percent after losing a mayoral bid, faces structural barriers including lower fundraising visibility and the district's voting patterns. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political shift could theoretically alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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