Republican incumbent David Kustoff maintains a commanding position in Tennessee's 8th congressional district due to the area's consistent partisan lean, rural and suburban voter base, and his prior victories including 72% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. The August 2026 primaries produced no significant Republican opposition while Democrats selected a nominee amid low visibility. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural advantages and absence of recent events capable of shifting momentum. A major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic paths for an upset before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,477 Vol.
$30,477 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
6%
$30,477 Vol.
$30,477 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$18,242 Vol.
92%
民主党
$12,235 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent David Kustoff maintains a commanding position in Tennessee's 8th congressional district due to the area's consistent partisan lean, rural and suburban voter base, and his prior victories including 72% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. The August 2026 primaries produced no significant Republican opposition while Democrats selected a nominee amid low visibility. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural advantages and absence of recent events capable of shifting momentum. A major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic paths for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$30,477終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent David Kustoff maintains a commanding position in Tennessee's 8th congressional district due to the area's consistent partisan lean, rural and suburban voter base, and his prior victories including 72% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. The August 2026 primaries produced no significant Republican opposition while Democrats selected a nominee amid low visibility. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural advantages and absence of recent events capable of shifting momentum. A major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic paths for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,477終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent David Kustoff maintains a commanding position in Tennessee's 8th congressional district due to the area's consistent partisan lean, rural and suburban voter base, and his prior victories including 72% in 2024. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. The August 2026 primaries produced no significant Republican opposition while Democrats selected a nominee amid low visibility. Trader consensus reflects the district's structural advantages and absence of recent events capable of shifting momentum. A major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical base rates suggest limited realistic paths for an upset before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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