Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit GOP margins, including a 27-point Trump victory in the prior cycle, which underpins the 93.5% Republican odds in this open-seat race. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created the vacancy, but recent redistricting preserved the district's conservative character across Middle Tennessee suburbs and rural areas. The August 6 primaries produced Republican nominee Johnny Garrett and Democrat Mike Croley as general election opponents for November 3, with all major forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban counties, or a national political shift altering baseline turnout patterns before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,356 Vol.
94%
民主党
$3,947 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit GOP margins, including a 27-point Trump victory in the prior cycle, which underpins the 93.5% Republican odds in this open-seat race. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created the vacancy, but recent redistricting preserved the district's conservative character across Middle Tennessee suburbs and rural areas. The August 6 primaries produced Republican nominee Johnny Garrett and Democrat Mike Croley as general election opponents for November 3, with all major forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban counties, or a national political shift altering baseline turnout patterns before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$12,303終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit GOP margins, including a 27-point Trump victory in the prior cycle, which underpins the 93.5% Republican odds in this open-seat race. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created the vacancy, but recent redistricting preserved the district's conservative character across Middle Tennessee suburbs and rural areas. The August 6 primaries produced Republican nominee Johnny Garrett and Democrat Mike Croley as general election opponents for November 3, with all major forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban counties, or a national political shift altering baseline turnout patterns before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,303終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and a history of double-digit GOP margins, including a 27-point Trump victory in the prior cycle, which underpins the 93.5% Republican odds in this open-seat race. Incumbent John Rose's decision to run for governor created the vacancy, but recent redistricting preserved the district's conservative character across Middle Tennessee suburbs and rural areas. The August 6 primaries produced Republican nominee Johnny Garrett and Democrat Mike Croley as general election opponents for November 3, with all major forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Factors that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban counties, or a national political shift altering baseline turnout patterns before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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