Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the May 2026 redistricting, with the redrawn map yielding a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 to R+17 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 27 points in the prior cycle. Incumbent John Rose's retirement to pursue the governorship has created an open seat, but the Republican primary field—including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary—positions the party to retain the nomination ahead of the August 6 primary. Democratic contenders face a sparse field and minimal fundraising, consistent with the district's entrenched partisan baseline and limited swing potential. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 92.5% Republican consensus on Polymarket reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late national Democratic wave, primary scandal derailing the GOP nominee, or unusually high turnout among suburban Nashville voters could theoretically compress margins, though such shifts would require deviations from established voting patterns in this Middle Tennessee district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$4,995 Vol.
93%
民主党
$1,097 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the May 2026 redistricting, with the redrawn map yielding a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 to R+17 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 27 points in the prior cycle. Incumbent John Rose's retirement to pursue the governorship has created an open seat, but the Republican primary field—including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary—positions the party to retain the nomination ahead of the August 6 primary. Democratic contenders face a sparse field and minimal fundraising, consistent with the district's entrenched partisan baseline and limited swing potential. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 92.5% Republican consensus on Polymarket reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late national Democratic wave, primary scandal derailing the GOP nominee, or unusually high turnout among suburban Nashville voters could theoretically compress margins, though such shifts would require deviations from established voting patterns in this Middle Tennessee district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$6,092終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the May 2026 redistricting, with the redrawn map yielding a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 to R+17 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 27 points in the prior cycle. Incumbent John Rose's retirement to pursue the governorship has created an open seat, but the Republican primary field—including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary—positions the party to retain the nomination ahead of the August 6 primary. Democratic contenders face a sparse field and minimal fundraising, consistent with the district's entrenched partisan baseline and limited swing potential. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 92.5% Republican consensus on Polymarket reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late national Democratic wave, primary scandal derailing the GOP nominee, or unusually high turnout among suburban Nashville voters could theoretically compress margins, though such shifts would require deviations from established voting patterns in this Middle Tennessee district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$6,092終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican seat following the May 2026 redistricting, with the redrawn map yielding a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+13 to R+17 and Donald Trump carrying it by roughly 27 points in the prior cycle. Incumbent John Rose's retirement to pursue the governorship has created an open seat, but the Republican primary field—including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former Rep. Van Hilleary—positions the party to retain the nomination ahead of the August 6 primary. Democratic contenders face a sparse field and minimal fundraising, consistent with the district's entrenched partisan baseline and limited swing potential. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. The 92.5% Republican consensus on Polymarket reflects this structural advantage and absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. A late national Democratic wave, primary scandal derailing the GOP nominee, or unusually high turnout among suburban Nashville voters could theoretically compress margins, though such shifts would require deviations from established voting patterns in this Middle Tennessee district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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