Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack faces limited opposition in Florida's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and rural-suburban composition outside Gainesville have produced consistent Republican margins, including Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024. Independent analyses rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee an 79% implied probability. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered positioning in recent weeks, though Democratic primary contenders remain in early stages and general election challengers have yet to consolidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,853 Vol.
$13,853 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
79%
民主党
11%
$13,853 Vol.
$13,853 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,549 Vol.
79%
民主党
$5,304 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack faces limited opposition in Florida's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and rural-suburban composition outside Gainesville have produced consistent Republican margins, including Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024. Independent analyses rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee an 79% implied probability. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered positioning in recent weeks, though Democratic primary contenders remain in early stages and general election challengers have yet to consolidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$13,853終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack faces limited opposition in Florida's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and rural-suburban composition outside Gainesville have produced consistent Republican margins, including Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024. Independent analyses rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee an 79% implied probability. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered positioning in recent weeks, though Democratic primary contenders remain in early stages and general election challengers have yet to consolidate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,853終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack faces limited opposition in Florida's 3rd Congressional District ahead of the August 18 primaries and November 3 general election. The seat's R+10 partisan voting index and rural-suburban composition outside Gainesville have produced consistent Republican margins, including Cammack's 61.6% victory in 2024. Independent analyses rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with current trader consensus that assigns the Republican nominee an 79% implied probability. No major polling shifts or candidate announcements have altered positioning in recent weeks, though Democratic primary contenders remain in early stages and general election challengers have yet to consolidate.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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