Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack is positioned as the strong favorite in Florida’s 3rd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a partisan voting index of roughly R+10. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s rural counties that outweigh the Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Cammack won the 2024 general election by more than 23 points and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries. Several Democratic candidates are competing for their party’s nomination, but no developments in the past month have shifted the underlying partisan dynamics or introduced competitive uncertainty that would narrow the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,870 Vol.
$13,870 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
11%
$13,870 Vol.
$13,870 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,566 Vol.
75%
民主党
$5,304 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack is positioned as the strong favorite in Florida’s 3rd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a partisan voting index of roughly R+10. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s rural counties that outweigh the Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Cammack won the 2024 general election by more than 23 points and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries. Several Democratic candidates are competing for their party’s nomination, but no developments in the past month have shifted the underlying partisan dynamics or introduced competitive uncertainty that would narrow the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$13,870終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack is positioned as the strong favorite in Florida’s 3rd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a partisan voting index of roughly R+10. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s rural counties that outweigh the Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Cammack won the 2024 general election by more than 23 points and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries. Several Democratic candidates are competing for their party’s nomination, but no developments in the past month have shifted the underlying partisan dynamics or introduced competitive uncertainty that would narrow the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,870終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack is positioned as the strong favorite in Florida’s 3rd Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a partisan voting index of roughly R+10. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, citing the district’s rural counties that outweigh the Democratic-leaning Gainesville area. Cammack won the 2024 general election by more than 23 points and faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 18, 2026, primaries. Several Democratic candidates are competing for their party’s nomination, but no developments in the past month have shifted the underlying partisan dynamics or introduced competitive uncertainty that would narrow the gap reflected in current trader pricing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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