Florida's 3rd congressional district leans strongly Republican due to its rural northern counties outweighing the more Democratic-leaning area around Gainesville, giving incumbent Representative Kat Cammack a clear structural advantage in the 2026 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voting index and the absence of recent developments that would shift the competitive balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$13,786 Vol.
$13,786 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
12%
$13,786 Vol.
$13,786 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,514 Vol.
75%
民主党
$5,272 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district leans strongly Republican due to its rural northern counties outweighing the more Democratic-leaning area around Gainesville, giving incumbent Representative Kat Cammack a clear structural advantage in the 2026 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voting index and the absence of recent developments that would shift the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$13,786終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district leans strongly Republican due to its rural northern counties outweighing the more Democratic-leaning area around Gainesville, giving incumbent Representative Kat Cammack a clear structural advantage in the 2026 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voting index and the absence of recent developments that would shift the competitive balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$13,786終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district leans strongly Republican due to its rural northern counties outweighing the more Democratic-leaning area around Gainesville, giving incumbent Representative Kat Cammack a clear structural advantage in the 2026 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting consistent past results and limited crossover appeal for Democratic challengers. With primaries scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with the district's partisan voting index and the absence of recent developments that would shift the competitive balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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