Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and carries consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack advanced without opposition in the August 2026 primary after winning 61.6 percent in 2024, while Democrat Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate primary to face her and independent Mike Klein in the November 3 general election. The new congressional map preserved the district's Republican tilt, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options in this solidly conservative area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these structural factors and historical margins. A major scandal, significant health development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still narrow the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,902 Vol.
$29,902 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$29,902 Vol.
$29,902 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$11,666 Vol.
94%
民主党
$18,236 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and carries consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack advanced without opposition in the August 2026 primary after winning 61.6 percent in 2024, while Democrat Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate primary to face her and independent Mike Klein in the November 3 general election. The new congressional map preserved the district's Republican tilt, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options in this solidly conservative area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these structural factors and historical margins. A major scandal, significant health development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$29,902終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and carries consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack advanced without opposition in the August 2026 primary after winning 61.6 percent in 2024, while Democrat Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate primary to face her and independent Mike Klein in the November 3 general election. The new congressional map preserved the district's Republican tilt, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options in this solidly conservative area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these structural factors and historical margins. A major scandal, significant health development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still narrow the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,902終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10 and carries consistent Solid Republican or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack advanced without opposition in the August 2026 primary after winning 61.6 percent in 2024, while Democrat Seth Harp emerged from a four-candidate primary to face her and independent Mike Klein in the November 3 general election. The new congressional map preserved the district's Republican tilt, limiting Democratic path-to-victory options in this solidly conservative area. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent Republican reflects these structural factors and historical margins. A major scandal, significant health development involving the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political realignment could still narrow the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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