Yassamin Ansari, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring her party in Arizona’s 3rd congressional district. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. With the July 2026 primary approaching and no prominent Republican challengers drawing notable attention, the market reflects the district’s structural partisan lean and the absence of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance easily before facing limited general-election opposition on November 3, 2026. Only an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national partisan realignment could realistically reopen the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,121 Vol.
94%
共和党
$5,594 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring her party in Arizona’s 3rd congressional district. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. With the July 2026 primary approaching and no prominent Republican challengers drawing notable attention, the market reflects the district’s structural partisan lean and the absence of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance easily before facing limited general-election opposition on November 3, 2026. Only an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national partisan realignment could realistically reopen the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$14,714終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Yassamin Ansari, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring her party in Arizona’s 3rd congressional district. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. With the July 2026 primary approaching and no prominent Republican challengers drawing notable attention, the market reflects the district’s structural partisan lean and the absence of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance easily before facing limited general-election opposition on November 3, 2026. Only an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national partisan realignment could realistically reopen the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,714終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Yassamin Ansari, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024 with over 70 percent of the vote, anchors the strong trader consensus favoring her party in Arizona’s 3rd congressional district. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, reinforced by nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. With the July 2026 primary approaching and no prominent Republican challengers drawing notable attention, the market reflects the district’s structural partisan lean and the absence of recent developments that would alter its trajectory. A Democratic nominee is expected to advance easily before facing limited general-election opposition on November 3, 2026. Only an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or dramatic national partisan realignment could realistically reopen the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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