Arizona's 3rd congressional district, anchored in downtown and western Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning seat. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari captured 70.9 percent in the 2024 general election, and forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. With the Democratic primary scheduled for July 21 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the district's consistent partisan performance and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption capable of overcoming the structural margin that has held through multiple cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,121 Vol.
94%
共和党
$5,594 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district, anchored in downtown and western Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning seat. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari captured 70.9 percent in the 2024 general election, and forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. With the Democratic primary scheduled for July 21 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the district's consistent partisan performance and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption capable of overcoming the structural margin that has held through multiple cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$14,714終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 3rd congressional district, anchored in downtown and western Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning seat. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari captured 70.9 percent in the 2024 general election, and forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. With the Democratic primary scheduled for July 21 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the district's consistent partisan performance and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption capable of overcoming the structural margin that has held through multiple cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,714終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 3rd congressional district, anchored in downtown and western Phoenix with a majority-Latino population, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+22, making it the state's most Democratic-leaning seat. Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari captured 70.9 percent in the 2024 general election, and forecasters rate the 2026 race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic. With the Democratic primary scheduled for July 21 and the general election on November 3, trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects the district's consistent partisan performance and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national shift or localized disruption capable of overcoming the structural margin that has held through multiple cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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