Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, backed by the seat's strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has consistently favored Democratic candidates, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Ansari's substantial fundraising lead and lack of serious primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest further reinforce trader consensus. A realistic shift could occur only through an unusually strong Republican nominee, significant turnout changes in the November general election, or unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$14,714 Vol.
$14,714 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,121 Vol.
94%
共和党
$5,594 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, backed by the seat's strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has consistently favored Democratic candidates, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Ansari's substantial fundraising lead and lack of serious primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest further reinforce trader consensus. A realistic shift could occur only through an unusually strong Republican nominee, significant turnout changes in the November general election, or unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$14,714終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, backed by the seat's strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has consistently favored Democratic candidates, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Ansari's substantial fundraising lead and lack of serious primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest further reinforce trader consensus. A realistic shift could occur only through an unusually strong Republican nominee, significant turnout changes in the November general election, or unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,714終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Yassamin Ansari holds a commanding position in Arizona's 3rd congressional district heading into the 2026 cycle, backed by the seat's strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index and her 2024 victory margin exceeding 40 points. The majority-Latino district centered in downtown and western Phoenix has consistently favored Democratic candidates, with race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Ansari's substantial fundraising lead and lack of serious primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest further reinforce trader consensus. A realistic shift could occur only through an unusually strong Republican nominee, significant turnout changes in the November general election, or unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health issue affecting the incumbent.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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