Arizona's 4th congressional district carries a D+4 partisan voter index and delivered a Democratic margin in the prior cycle, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Representative Greg Stanton faces a low-profile primary challenge ahead of the July 21 contest, while Republicans advance candidates including Zuhdi Jasser in their primary on the same date. The district encompasses suburban areas of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, where structural advantages for the Democratic nominee have held firm. Limited recent polling shifts or major fundraising developments have kept probabilities stable, with trader consensus reflecting the district's established lean and historical performance rather than any sudden catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$16,929 Vol.
$16,929 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
86%
共和党
13%
$16,929 Vol.
$16,929 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,085 Vol.
86%
共和党
$2,843 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district carries a D+4 partisan voter index and delivered a Democratic margin in the prior cycle, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Representative Greg Stanton faces a low-profile primary challenge ahead of the July 21 contest, while Republicans advance candidates including Zuhdi Jasser in their primary on the same date. The district encompasses suburban areas of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, where structural advantages for the Democratic nominee have held firm. Limited recent polling shifts or major fundraising developments have kept probabilities stable, with trader consensus reflecting the district's established lean and historical performance rather than any sudden catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
音量
$16,929終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district carries a D+4 partisan voter index and delivered a Democratic margin in the prior cycle, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Representative Greg Stanton faces a low-profile primary challenge ahead of the July 21 contest, while Republicans advance candidates including Zuhdi Jasser in their primary on the same date. The district encompasses suburban areas of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, where structural advantages for the Democratic nominee have held firm. Limited recent polling shifts or major fundraising developments have kept probabilities stable, with trader consensus reflecting the district's established lean and historical performance rather than any sudden catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$16,929終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 4th congressional district carries a D+4 partisan voter index and delivered a Democratic margin in the prior cycle, aligning with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. Incumbent Representative Greg Stanton faces a low-profile primary challenge ahead of the July 21 contest, while Republicans advance candidates including Zuhdi Jasser in their primary on the same date. The district encompasses suburban areas of Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler, where structural advantages for the Democratic nominee have held firm. Limited recent polling shifts or major fundraising developments have kept probabilities stable, with trader consensus reflecting the district's established lean and historical performance rather than any sudden catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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