Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features 17 candidates vying to advance, producing a fragmented field that keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate forums and meet-and-greets have highlighted vote-splitting among Republicans such as Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, Shelley Hughes, and Bernadette Wilson, alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plus independents like Bill Walker. Limited polling shows no contender consistently above the low twenties, reflecting dispersed support and the system's emphasis on ranking four finalists rather than securing a majority. Trader consensus remains sensitive to last-minute turnout shifts or endorsements that could consolidate backing for any of the leading names ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日バーナデット・ウィルソン 38%
マット・クラマン 38%
デストリー・J・ペイン・シニア 38%
トレグ・テイラー 37%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
バーナデット・ウィルソン
38%
マット・クラマン
38%
デストリー・J・ペイン・シニア
38%
トレグ・テイラー
37%
ジェームズ・パーキン
37%
トム・ベギッチ
37%
エドナ・デブリーズ
37%
シェリー・ヒューズ
37%
ハンク・クロール
37%
ビル・ウォーカー
37%
デイブ・ブロンソン
36%
クリック・ビショップ
36%
ブルース・ウォールデン
36%
アダム・クラム
35%
マット・ヘイララ
34%
レスリー・マグワイア
34%
ジェシカ・フェアクロス
34%
グレッグ・ブレルスフォード
25%
ジョナサン・クライス＝トムキンス
25%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
20%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 38%
マット・クラマン 38%
デストリー・J・ペイン・シニア 38%
トレグ・テイラー 37%
新規
新規
2026/08/18
バーナデット・ウィルソン
$20 Vol.
38%
マット・クラマン
$25 Vol.
38%
デストリー・J・ペイン・シニア
$20 Vol.
38%
トレグ・テイラー
$20 Vol.
37%
ジェームズ・パーキン
$25 Vol.
37%
トム・ベギッチ
$148 Vol.
37%
エドナ・デブリーズ
$20 Vol.
37%
シェリー・ヒューズ
$54 Vol.
37%
ハンク・クロール
$51 Vol.
37%
ビル・ウォーカー
$20 Vol.
37%
デイブ・ブロンソン
$20 Vol.
36%
クリック・ビショップ
$20 Vol.
36%
ブルース・ウォールデン
$50 Vol.
36%
アダム・クラム
$20 Vol.
35%
マット・ヘイララ
$51 Vol.
34%
レスリー・マグワイア
$53 Vol.
34%
ジェシカ・フェアクロス
$20 Vol.
34%
グレッグ・ブレルスフォード
$80 Vol.
25%
ジョナサン・クライス＝トムキンス
$40 Vol.
25%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
$80 Vol.
20%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features 17 candidates vying to advance, producing a fragmented field that keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate forums and meet-and-greets have highlighted vote-splitting among Republicans such as Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, Shelley Hughes, and Bernadette Wilson, alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plus independents like Bill Walker. Limited polling shows no contender consistently above the low twenties, reflecting dispersed support and the system's emphasis on ranking four finalists rather than securing a majority. Trader consensus remains sensitive to last-minute turnout shifts or endorsements that could consolidate backing for any of the leading names ahead of election day.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
マーケット開始日： Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
音量
$837終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features 17 candidates vying to advance, producing a fragmented field that keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate forums and meet-and-greets have highlighted vote-splitting among Republicans such as Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, Shelley Hughes, and Bernadette Wilson, alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plus independents like Bill Walker. Limited polling shows no contender consistently above the low twenties, reflecting dispersed support and the system's emphasis on ranking four finalists rather than securing a majority. Trader consensus remains sensitive to last-minute turnout shifts or endorsements that could consolidate backing for any of the leading names ahead of election day.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
音量
$837終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Aug 14, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features 17 candidates vying to advance, producing a fragmented field that keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Recent candidate forums and meet-and-greets have highlighted vote-splitting among Republicans such as Click Bishop, Dave Bronson, Adam Crum, Edna DeVries, Shelley Hughes, and Bernadette Wilson, alongside Democrats Tom Begich and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins plus independents like Bill Walker. Limited polling shows no contender consistently above the low twenties, reflecting dispersed support and the system's emphasis on ranking four finalists rather than securing a majority. Trader consensus remains sensitive to last-minute turnout shifts or endorsements that could consolidate backing for any of the leading names ahead of election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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