Alaska’s nonpartisan top-four primary for its at-large U.S. House seat is set for August 18, 2026, with the filing deadline closing June 1. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces Democratic challenger Matt Schultz, independent Bill Hill, and several lesser-known candidates in a single-ballot contest that advances the top four vote-getters to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. A May 2026 poll showed Begich at 47 percent, Schultz at 28 percent, and Hill at 11 percent, reflecting Begich’s 2024 narrow victory margin and national Democratic targeting of the race. Potential vote fragmentation among challengers and any late filings could shift which candidates advance, while the primary format limits the impact of party labels until the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Matt Schultz
92%
Nick Begich III
92%
Bill Hill
89%
John Williams
69%
Gavin Solomon
33%
マシュー「ブロンコ」ウィリアムズ
25%
$7,001 Vol.
Matt Schultz
92%
Nick Begich III
92%
Bill Hill
89%
John Williams
69%
Gavin Solomon
33%
マシュー「ブロンコ」ウィリアムズ
25%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
マーケット開始日: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska’s nonpartisan top-four primary for its at-large U.S. House seat is set for August 18, 2026, with the filing deadline closing June 1. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich faces Democratic challenger Matt Schultz, independent Bill Hill, and several lesser-known candidates in a single-ballot contest that advances the top four vote-getters to the November general election under ranked-choice voting. A May 2026 poll showed Begich at 47 percent, Schultz at 28 percent, and Hill at 11 percent, reflecting Begich’s 2024 narrow victory margin and national Democratic targeting of the race. Potential vote fragmentation among challengers and any late filings could shift which candidates advance, while the primary format limits the impact of party labels until the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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