Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for an open gubernatorial seat features a crowded field of 17 candidates, with the four highest vote-getters advancing to a ranked-choice general election on November 3. Polling and media attention center on Tom Begich, Click Bishop, David Bronson, Bernadette Wilson, Bill Walker, and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins as the strongest contenders, reflecting name recognition, prior officeholding, and fundraising in a state where Republicans have dominated recent statewide results. Candidate filing closed in early June with several late withdrawals, leaving a fragmented Republican vote that increases uncertainty over which four will clear the threshold. Traders price the outcome based on these polling baselines and the mechanics of the blanket primary, where even modest support can secure advancement amid vote splitting. No major new developments have emerged in the final weeks before the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$229,559 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
97%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
82%
ジョナサン・クライス＝トムキンズ
70%
デイブ・ブロンソン
50%
クリック・ビショップ
40%
ビル・ウォーカー
26%
トレグ・テイラー
16%
シェリー・ヒューズ
4%
アダム・クラム
4%
マット・ヘイララ
4%
レスィル・マグワイア
2%
ジェシカ・フェアクロス
2%
ハンク・クロール
2%
マット・クラマン
1%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
1%
エドナ・デブリーズ
1%
グレッグ・ブレルスフォード
1%
デストリー・J・ペイン・シニア
1%
ブルース・ウォルデン
1%
ジェームズ・パーキン
<1%
$229,559 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
97%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
82%
ジョナサン・クライス＝トムキンズ
70%
デイブ・ブロンソン
50%
クリック・ビショップ
40%
ビル・ウォーカー
26%
トレグ・テイラー
16%
シェリー・ヒューズ
4%
アダム・クラム
4%
マット・ヘイララ
4%
レスィル・マグワイア
2%
ジェシカ・フェアクロス
2%
ハンク・クロール
2%
マット・クラマン
1%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
1%
エドナ・デブリーズ
1%
グレッグ・ブレルスフォード
1%
デストリー・J・ペイン・シニア
1%
ブルース・ウォルデン
1%
ジェームズ・パーキン
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for an open gubernatorial seat features a crowded field of 17 candidates, with the four highest vote-getters advancing to a ranked-choice general election on November 3. Polling and media attention center on Tom Begich, Click Bishop, David Bronson, Bernadette Wilson, Bill Walker, and Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins as the strongest contenders, reflecting name recognition, prior officeholding, and fundraising in a state where Republicans have dominated recent statewide results. Candidate filing closed in early June with several late withdrawals, leaving a fragmented Republican vote that increases uncertainty over which four will clear the threshold. Traders price the outcome based on these polling baselines and the mechanics of the blanket primary, where even modest support can secure advancement amid vote splitting. No major new developments have emerged in the final weeks before the primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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