Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Jack Reed's dominant position in the Democratic primary drive the overwhelming market consensus favoring a Democratic Senate winner. The state has elected only Democrats to the Senate since 2007, with Reed serving since 1997 and holding strong polling leads over challenger Connor Burbridge ahead of the September primary. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a state with a heavy Democratic registration edge and consistent general-election margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as an incumbent health event, major scandal, or sharp national partisan realignment could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
5%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,542 Vol.
94%
共和党
$2,856 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Jack Reed's dominant position in the Democratic primary drive the overwhelming market consensus favoring a Democratic Senate winner. The state has elected only Democrats to the Senate since 2007, with Reed serving since 1997 and holding strong polling leads over challenger Connor Burbridge ahead of the September primary. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a state with a heavy Democratic registration edge and consistent general-election margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as an incumbent health event, major scandal, or sharp national partisan realignment could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
音量
$8,399終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Jack Reed's dominant position in the Democratic primary drive the overwhelming market consensus favoring a Democratic Senate winner. The state has elected only Democrats to the Senate since 2007, with Reed serving since 1997 and holding strong polling leads over challenger Connor Burbridge ahead of the September primary. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a state with a heavy Democratic registration edge and consistent general-election margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as an incumbent health event, major scandal, or sharp national partisan realignment could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Rhode Island U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
音量
$8,399終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rhode Island's entrenched Democratic advantage and incumbent Jack Reed's dominant position in the Democratic primary drive the overwhelming market consensus favoring a Democratic Senate winner. The state has elected only Democrats to the Senate since 2007, with Reed serving since 1997 and holding strong polling leads over challenger Connor Burbridge ahead of the September primary. Republican primary contenders face structural barriers in a state with a heavy Democratic registration edge and consistent general-election margins exceeding 25 points in recent cycles. Ratings from nonpartisan forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as an incumbent health event, major scandal, or sharp national partisan realignment could still narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問