Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and carried by double digits for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Finstad’s 17-point victory in the prior cycle and consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 59 percent. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson has narrowed the gap in some early polling, prompting the DCCC to target the seat in February amid voter concerns over costs and tariffs. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. With primaries set for August and the general election on November 3, limited subsequent developments have altered the underlying dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
59%
民主党
39%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,050 Vol.
59%
民主党
$4,495 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and carried by double digits for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Finstad’s 17-point victory in the prior cycle and consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 59 percent. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson has narrowed the gap in some early polling, prompting the DCCC to target the seat in February amid voter concerns over costs and tariffs. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. With primaries set for August and the general election on November 3, limited subsequent developments have altered the underlying dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$7,545終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and carried by double digits for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Finstad’s 17-point victory in the prior cycle and consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 59 percent. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson has narrowed the gap in some early polling, prompting the DCCC to target the seat in February amid voter concerns over costs and tariffs. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. With primaries set for August and the general election on November 3, limited subsequent developments have altered the underlying dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,545終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a structural edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, rated R+6 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and carried by double digits for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Finstad’s 17-point victory in the prior cycle and consistent Republican performance underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 59 percent. Democratic challenger Jake Johnson has narrowed the gap in some early polling, prompting the DCCC to target the seat in February amid voter concerns over costs and tariffs. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato classify the race as Solid or Likely Republican. With primaries set for August and the general election on November 3, limited subsequent developments have altered the underlying dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問