Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, an R+6 seat along the southern border that has favored Republicans since 2018. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Finstad leading Democratic challenger Jake Johnson by double digits, consistent with the district’s voting history and Cook Political Report’s Likely Republican rating. Primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, precede the November general election, with limited new developments shifting the competitive landscape. Trader consensus at 71.5% for Republicans reflects the incumbent’s fundraising lead, structural advantages in a rural-leaning district, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,165 Vol.
$18,165 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
72%
民主党
28%
$18,165 Vol.
$18,165 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,616 Vol.
72%
民主党
$9,549 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, an R+6 seat along the southern border that has favored Republicans since 2018. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Finstad leading Democratic challenger Jake Johnson by double digits, consistent with the district’s voting history and Cook Political Report’s Likely Republican rating. Primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, precede the November general election, with limited new developments shifting the competitive landscape. Trader consensus at 71.5% for Republicans reflects the incumbent’s fundraising lead, structural advantages in a rural-leaning district, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$18,165終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, an R+6 seat along the southern border that has favored Republicans since 2018. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Finstad leading Democratic challenger Jake Johnson by double digits, consistent with the district’s voting history and Cook Political Report’s Likely Republican rating. Primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, precede the November general election, with limited new developments shifting the competitive landscape. Trader consensus at 71.5% for Republicans reflects the incumbent’s fundraising lead, structural advantages in a rural-leaning district, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,165終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Brad Finstad holds a clear edge in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district, an R+6 seat along the southern border that has favored Republicans since 2018. Recent polling from March 2026 showed Finstad leading Democratic challenger Jake Johnson by double digits, consistent with the district’s voting history and Cook Political Report’s Likely Republican rating. Primaries scheduled for August 11, 2026, precede the November general election, with limited new developments shifting the competitive landscape. Trader consensus at 71.5% for Republicans reflects the incumbent’s fundraising lead, structural advantages in a rural-leaning district, and the absence of major late-cycle disruptions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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