Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to run for the open U.S. Senate seat rather than seek another House term converted Minnesota’s 2nd District into an open-seat contest. The district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles have kept the seat rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic primary contenders, including Matt Little and Matt Klein, are competing ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republicans field state Sen. Eric Pratt and others. These structural factors and the absence of a strong Republican challenger underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
24%
民主党
64%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$156 Vol.
24%
民主党
$123 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to run for the open U.S. Senate seat rather than seek another House term converted Minnesota’s 2nd District into an open-seat contest. The district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles have kept the seat rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic primary contenders, including Matt Little and Matt Klein, are competing ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republicans field state Sen. Eric Pratt and others. These structural factors and the absence of a strong Republican challenger underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$279終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to run for the open U.S. Senate seat rather than seek another House term converted Minnesota’s 2nd District into an open-seat contest. The district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles have kept the seat rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic primary contenders, including Matt Little and Matt Klein, are competing ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republicans field state Sen. Eric Pratt and others. These structural factors and the absence of a strong Republican challenger underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$279終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Angie Craig’s April 2025 decision to run for the open U.S. Senate seat rather than seek another House term converted Minnesota’s 2nd District into an open-seat contest. The district’s D+3 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles have kept the seat rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic primary contenders, including Matt Little and Matt Klein, are competing ahead of the August 11 vote, while Republicans field state Sen. Eric Pratt and others. These structural factors and the absence of a strong Republican challenger underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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