The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, remains the central factor shaping trader views. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and has been rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party delegates endorsed former state Senator Matt Little at their May 2026 convention, providing early organizational clarity ahead of the August primary. Republican candidates, led by state Senator Eric Pratt, face the challenge of competing in a suburban Twin Cities seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. With primaries still months away and filing closed in early June, the implied probability gap reflects the district’s structural lean and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the competitive baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
87%
共和党
11%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$123 Vol.
87%
共和党
$156 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, remains the central factor shaping trader views. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and has been rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party delegates endorsed former state Senator Matt Little at their May 2026 convention, providing early organizational clarity ahead of the August primary. Republican candidates, led by state Senator Eric Pratt, face the challenge of competing in a suburban Twin Cities seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. With primaries still months away and filing closed in early June, the implied probability gap reflects the district’s structural lean and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the competitive baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
音量
$279終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, remains the central factor shaping trader views. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and has been rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party delegates endorsed former state Senator Matt Little at their May 2026 convention, providing early organizational clarity ahead of the August primary. Republican candidates, led by state Senator Eric Pratt, face the challenge of competing in a suburban Twin Cities seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. With primaries still months away and filing closed in early June, the implied probability gap reflects the district’s structural lean and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the competitive baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$279終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota’s 2nd congressional district, created by incumbent Democrat Angie Craig’s decision to run for U.S. Senate, remains the central factor shaping trader views. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and has been rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party delegates endorsed former state Senator Matt Little at their May 2026 convention, providing early organizational clarity ahead of the August primary. Republican candidates, led by state Senator Eric Pratt, face the challenge of competing in a suburban Twin Cities seat that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. With primaries still months away and filing closed in early June, the implied probability gap reflects the district’s structural lean and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter the competitive baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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