Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district race, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that expanded the state’s GOP-leaning map, combines with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin and recent polling averages showing double-digit leads over Democrat Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support, limited Democratic primary competition, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in a national wave could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$33,834 Vol.
94%
民主党
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district race, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that expanded the state’s GOP-leaning map, combines with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin and recent polling averages showing double-digit leads over Democrat Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support, limited Democratic primary competition, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in a national wave could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$57,564終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district race, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that expanded the state’s GOP-leaning map, combines with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin and recent polling averages showing double-digit leads over Democrat Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support, limited Democratic primary competition, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in a national wave could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,564終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district race, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that expanded the state’s GOP-leaning map, combines with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin and recent polling averages showing double-digit leads over Democrat Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support, limited Democratic primary competition, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in a national wave could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問