Molly Gray holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race as the Democratic nominee, while incumbent Republican John Rodgers sits at 13%. Vermont’s consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests, combined with Gray’s prior service in the office from 2021 to 2023 and her decisive August 11 primary victory over Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin, underpins trader positioning. Rodgers advanced unopposed on the Republican side after winning the 2024 election via legislative vote. Limited public polling from mid-2026 showed Gray ahead, and the roughly two-month window to the November 3 general election leaves room for shifts driven by turnout patterns or late campaign developments on issues such as housing and state-federal relations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
モリー・グレイ（民主党）
87%
ジョン・S・ロジャーズ（共和党）
14%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
モリー・グレイ（民主党）
$1,082 Vol.
87%
ジョン・S・ロジャーズ（共和党）
$918 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race as the Democratic nominee, while incumbent Republican John Rodgers sits at 13%. Vermont’s consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests, combined with Gray’s prior service in the office from 2021 to 2023 and her decisive August 11 primary victory over Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin, underpins trader positioning. Rodgers advanced unopposed on the Republican side after winning the 2024 election via legislative vote. Limited public polling from mid-2026 showed Gray ahead, and the roughly two-month window to the November 3 general election leaves room for shifts driven by turnout patterns or late campaign developments on issues such as housing and state-federal relations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET
音量
$2,000終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race as the Democratic nominee, while incumbent Republican John Rodgers sits at 13%. Vermont’s consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests, combined with Gray’s prior service in the office from 2021 to 2023 and her decisive August 11 primary victory over Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin, underpins trader positioning. Rodgers advanced unopposed on the Republican side after winning the 2024 election via legislative vote. Limited public polling from mid-2026 showed Gray ahead, and the roughly two-month window to the November 3 general election leaves room for shifts driven by turnout patterns or late campaign developments on issues such as housing and state-federal relations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$2,000終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Molly Gray holds an 87.5% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race as the Democratic nominee, while incumbent Republican John Rodgers sits at 13%. Vermont’s consistent Democratic advantage in statewide contests, combined with Gray’s prior service in the office from 2021 to 2023 and her decisive August 11 primary victory over Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin, underpins trader positioning. Rodgers advanced unopposed on the Republican side after winning the 2024 election via legislative vote. Limited public polling from mid-2026 showed Gray ahead, and the roughly two-month window to the November 3 general election leaves room for shifts driven by turnout patterns or late campaign developments on issues such as housing and state-federal relations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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