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icon for ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者

ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者

icon for ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者

ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者

Polymarket
新規
Polymarket
新規
icon for ジョシュ・コール(民主党)

ジョシュ・コール(民主党)

$144 Vol.

77%

icon for エリック・トニー(共和党)

エリック・トニー(共和党)

$42 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Josh Kaul holds a clear lead in the Wisconsin attorney general race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by his status as a two-term officeholder who prevailed in a 2022 rematch against Republican Eric Toney by roughly 35,000 votes. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the August 2026 primaries, allowing focus to shift to the general election where Toney benefits from unified Republican support and outside ad spending targeting crime lab delays and narcotics enforcement. Kaul has drawn endorsements from labor groups and Democratic lawmakers while prevailing in a recent state Supreme Court ruling on settlement fund authority. With roughly two months until voting, the implied probabilities reflect Kaul’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried in 2024, though the historically narrow margin leaves room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$186
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Incumbent Democrat Josh Kaul holds a clear lead in the Wisconsin attorney general race heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by his status as a two-term officeholder who prevailed in a 2022 rematch against Republican Eric Toney by roughly 35,000 votes. Both candidates secured their party nominations without opposition in the August 2026 primaries, allowing focus to shift to the general election where Toney benefits from unified Republican support and outside ad spending targeting crime lab delays and narcotics enforcement. Kaul has drawn endorsements from labor groups and Democratic lawmakers while prevailing in a recent state Supreme Court ruling on settlement fund authority. With roughly two months until voting, the implied probabilities reflect Kaul’s structural advantages in a state Trump carried in 2024, though the historically narrow margin leaves room for shifts from turnout or late campaign developments.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Wisconsin Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
音量
$186
終了日
2026/11/03
マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 1:51 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ジョシュ・コール(民主党)」で77%、次いで「エリック・トニー(共和党)」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、77¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に77%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 4, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ジョシュ・コール(民主党)」で77%であり、市場がこの結果に77%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「エリック・トニー(共和党)」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ウィスコンシン州司法長官選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。