The narrow D+1 partisan voter index and Josh Riley’s prior two-point general election victory sustain a closely contested NY-19 race, reflected in trader consensus near 51-42. Riley benefits from incumbency and early Democratic consolidation after the canceled primary, while Republican contenders Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli compete in the June 23 primary for the nomination in a district that includes competitive areas around Binghamton and Ithaca. Midterm-year turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any national political tailwinds could shift margins, as historical data shows such lean districts often hinge on small changes in voter enthusiasm or late-campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
49%
民主党
51%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$50 Vol.
49%
民主党
$225 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The narrow D+1 partisan voter index and Josh Riley’s prior two-point general election victory sustain a closely contested NY-19 race, reflected in trader consensus near 51-42. Riley benefits from incumbency and early Democratic consolidation after the canceled primary, while Republican contenders Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli compete in the June 23 primary for the nomination in a district that includes competitive areas around Binghamton and Ithaca. Midterm-year turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any national political tailwinds could shift margins, as historical data shows such lean districts often hinge on small changes in voter enthusiasm or late-campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$275終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The narrow D+1 partisan voter index and Josh Riley’s prior two-point general election victory sustain a closely contested NY-19 race, reflected in trader consensus near 51-42. Riley benefits from incumbency and early Democratic consolidation after the canceled primary, while Republican contenders Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli compete in the June 23 primary for the nomination in a district that includes competitive areas around Binghamton and Ithaca. Midterm-year turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any national political tailwinds could shift margins, as historical data shows such lean districts often hinge on small changes in voter enthusiasm or late-campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$275終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The narrow D+1 partisan voter index and Josh Riley’s prior two-point general election victory sustain a closely contested NY-19 race, reflected in trader consensus near 51-42. Riley benefits from incumbency and early Democratic consolidation after the canceled primary, while Republican contenders Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli compete in the June 23 primary for the nomination in a district that includes competitive areas around Binghamton and Ithaca. Midterm-year turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any national political tailwinds could shift margins, as historical data shows such lean districts often hinge on small changes in voter enthusiasm or late-campaign developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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