Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley faces Republican nominee Peter Oberacker in New York's 19th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Riley secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the June 23 primary, while Oberacker won the Republican contest decisively. The district carries a narrow Democratic partisan voting index advantage, and analysts have shifted ratings toward Riley compared with the prior cycle. Trader consensus in the prediction market, reflected in the Democratic Party's 88% implied probability, aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, including name recognition and fundraising patterns typical in competitive House races. No major developments since the primaries have altered positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
88%
共和党
12%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,561 Vol.
88%
共和党
$2,316 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley faces Republican nominee Peter Oberacker in New York's 19th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Riley secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the June 23 primary, while Oberacker won the Republican contest decisively. The district carries a narrow Democratic partisan voting index advantage, and analysts have shifted ratings toward Riley compared with the prior cycle. Trader consensus in the prediction market, reflected in the Democratic Party's 88% implied probability, aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, including name recognition and fundraising patterns typical in competitive House races. No major developments since the primaries have altered positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$3,876終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley faces Republican nominee Peter Oberacker in New York's 19th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Riley secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the June 23 primary, while Oberacker won the Republican contest decisively. The district carries a narrow Democratic partisan voting index advantage, and analysts have shifted ratings toward Riley compared with the prior cycle. Trader consensus in the prediction market, reflected in the Democratic Party's 88% implied probability, aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, including name recognition and fundraising patterns typical in competitive House races. No major developments since the primaries have altered positioning ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,876終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley faces Republican nominee Peter Oberacker in New York's 19th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Riley secured the Democratic nomination without opposition after the June 23 primary, while Oberacker won the Republican contest decisively. The district carries a narrow Democratic partisan voting index advantage, and analysts have shifted ratings toward Riley compared with the prior cycle. Trader consensus in the prediction market, reflected in the Democratic Party's 88% implied probability, aligns with these structural advantages for the incumbent, including name recognition and fundraising patterns typical in competitive House races. No major developments since the primaries have altered positioning ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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