Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley holds a narrow edge in the NY-19 House race, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by roughly two points in a district with a near-even partisan voting index. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Riley to advance directly while raising substantial funds with millions in cash on hand. On the Republican side, a June 23 primary between state Sen. Peter Oberacker and challenger Alexander Portelli will determine the nominee, with Oberacker viewed as the stronger contender based on prediction market signals and local experience. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, citing incumbency and recent electoral history as primary drivers of trader consensus ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
23%
民主党
51%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$50 Vol.
23%
民主党
$225 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley holds a narrow edge in the NY-19 House race, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by roughly two points in a district with a near-even partisan voting index. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Riley to advance directly while raising substantial funds with millions in cash on hand. On the Republican side, a June 23 primary between state Sen. Peter Oberacker and challenger Alexander Portelli will determine the nominee, with Oberacker viewed as the stronger contender based on prediction market signals and local experience. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, citing incumbency and recent electoral history as primary drivers of trader consensus ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$275終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley holds a narrow edge in the NY-19 House race, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by roughly two points in a district with a near-even partisan voting index. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Riley to advance directly while raising substantial funds with millions in cash on hand. On the Republican side, a June 23 primary between state Sen. Peter Oberacker and challenger Alexander Portelli will determine the nominee, with Oberacker viewed as the stronger contender based on prediction market signals and local experience. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, citing incumbency and recent electoral history as primary drivers of trader consensus ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$275終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Josh Riley holds a narrow edge in the NY-19 House race, reflecting his 2024 general election victory by roughly two points in a district with a near-even partisan voting index. The Democratic primary was canceled, allowing Riley to advance directly while raising substantial funds with millions in cash on hand. On the Republican side, a June 23 primary between state Sen. Peter Oberacker and challenger Alexander Portelli will determine the nominee, with Oberacker viewed as the stronger contender based on prediction market signals and local experience. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, citing incumbency and recent electoral history as primary drivers of trader consensus ahead of the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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