Texas's 19th congressional district, covering much of West Texas including Lubbock and Abilene, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Jodey Arrington retired ahead of the 2026 cycle. Republican nominee Tom Sell secured the nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 25 points or more. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 93.5% reflects the seat's entrenched Republican advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national midterm environment could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,574 Vol.
$15,574 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$15,574 Vol.
$15,574 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$2,164 Vol.
94%
民主党
$13,410 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district, covering much of West Texas including Lubbock and Abilene, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Jodey Arrington retired ahead of the 2026 cycle. Republican nominee Tom Sell secured the nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 25 points or more. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 93.5% reflects the seat's entrenched Republican advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national midterm environment could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$15,574終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district, covering much of West Texas including Lubbock and Abilene, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Jodey Arrington retired ahead of the 2026 cycle. Republican nominee Tom Sell secured the nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 25 points or more. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 93.5% reflects the seat's entrenched Republican advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national midterm environment could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,574終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 19th congressional district, covering much of West Texas including Lubbock and Abilene, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Jodey Arrington retired ahead of the 2026 cycle. Republican nominee Tom Sell secured the nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 25 points or more. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 93.5% reflects the seat's entrenched Republican advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national midterm environment could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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