The heavily Democratic tilt of New York’s 5th congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Gregory Meeks’s unopposed Democratic primary victory in June 2026, anchors trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. Meeks has represented the seat since 1998 and captured roughly 73 percent in the prior general election, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising further reinforce the positioning. Although a late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the margin, current evidence shows few realistic paths for the opposing party to overcome the structural and incumbency advantages before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$52,652 Vol.
$52,652 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$52,652 Vol.
$52,652 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$20,641 Vol.
95%
共和党
$32,012 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of New York’s 5th congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Gregory Meeks’s unopposed Democratic primary victory in June 2026, anchors trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. Meeks has represented the seat since 1998 and captured roughly 73 percent in the prior general election, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising further reinforce the positioning. Although a late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the margin, current evidence shows few realistic paths for the opposing party to overcome the structural and incumbency advantages before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$52,652終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of New York’s 5th congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Gregory Meeks’s unopposed Democratic primary victory in June 2026, anchors trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. Meeks has represented the seat since 1998 and captured roughly 73 percent in the prior general election, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising further reinforce the positioning. Although a late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the margin, current evidence shows few realistic paths for the opposing party to overcome the structural and incumbency advantages before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$52,652終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic tilt of New York’s 5th congressional district, combined with longtime incumbent Gregory Meeks’s unopposed Democratic primary victory in June 2026, anchors trader consensus around a strong Democratic outcome. Meeks has represented the seat since 1998 and captured roughly 73 percent in the prior general election, while nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising further reinforce the positioning. Although a late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave could still narrow the margin, current evidence shows few realistic paths for the opposing party to overcome the structural and incumbency advantages before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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