New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Incumbent Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial cash reserves and established name recognition. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Meeks’s 2024 performance above 70 percent. The Republican nominee trail in fundraising and lacks recent polling traction. A Democratic victory remains the overwhelming trader consensus, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican tailwind could theoretically narrow the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,830 Vol.
$24,830 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$24,830 Vol.
$24,830 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,054 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,777 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Incumbent Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial cash reserves and established name recognition. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Meeks’s 2024 performance above 70 percent. The Republican nominee trail in fundraising and lacks recent polling traction. A Democratic victory remains the overwhelming trader consensus, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican tailwind could theoretically narrow the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$24,830終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Incumbent Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial cash reserves and established name recognition. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Meeks’s 2024 performance above 70 percent. The Republican nominee trail in fundraising and lacks recent polling traction. A Democratic victory remains the overwhelming trader consensus, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican tailwind could theoretically narrow the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,830終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 5th congressional district, anchored in southeast Queens, carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+24 and has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Incumbent Gregory Meeks faces no serious primary challenge ahead of the June 23 contest and enters the general election with substantial cash reserves and established name recognition. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Meeks’s 2024 performance above 70 percent. The Republican nominee trail in fundraising and lacks recent polling traction. A Democratic victory remains the overwhelming trader consensus, though an unforeseen scandal, health development, or unusually strong national Republican tailwind could theoretically narrow the outcome before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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