The strong Democratic lean of New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote and holds substantial campaign resources. The Republican nominee, George Marsh, confronts structural disadvantages in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5–5.5 percent split aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late-cycle factors such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,830 Vol.
$24,830 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$24,830 Vol.
$24,830 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,054 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,777 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote and holds substantial campaign resources. The Republican nominee, George Marsh, confronts structural disadvantages in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5–5.5 percent split aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late-cycle factors such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$24,830終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote and holds substantial campaign resources. The Republican nominee, George Marsh, confronts structural disadvantages in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5–5.5 percent split aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late-cycle factors such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,830終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of New York’s 5th congressional district, centered in southeast Queens with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. Longtime incumbent Gregory Meeks, first elected in 1998 and re-elected with nearly 73 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23 vote and holds substantial campaign resources. The Republican nominee, George Marsh, confronts structural disadvantages in a district that has consistently delivered large Democratic margins. Trader consensus reflected in the 93.5–5.5 percent split aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of recent developments capable of narrowing the gap. Late-cycle factors such as an unexpected scandal, health event, or unusually high turnout shift could still alter the outcome before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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