NY-05 remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Queens, where incumbent Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing Meeks and Marsh to advance directly. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic nominee. Meeks’s long tenure, substantial cash reserves, and lack of primary opposition reinforce the position. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,276 Vol.
$25,276 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$25,276 Vol.
$25,276 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,297 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,979 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-05 remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Queens, where incumbent Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing Meeks and Marsh to advance directly. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic nominee. Meeks’s long tenure, substantial cash reserves, and lack of primary opposition reinforce the position. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$25,276終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NY-05 remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Queens, where incumbent Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing Meeks and Marsh to advance directly. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic nominee. Meeks’s long tenure, substantial cash reserves, and lack of primary opposition reinforce the position. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,276終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NY-05 remains a solidly Democratic seat anchored in Queens, where incumbent Gregory Meeks faces Republican George Marsh in the November 2026 general election. Both major-party primaries were canceled, allowing Meeks and Marsh to advance directly. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus around a wide margin for the Democratic nominee. Meeks’s long tenure, substantial cash reserves, and lack of primary opposition reinforce the position. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late-cycle development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican surge capable of overcoming the district’s structural Democratic advantage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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