New York’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks advanced unopposed through the canceled June 23 Democratic primary, preserving party resources and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee George Marsh and any general-election challengers face structural headwinds in a Queens-based seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this baseline, though low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, late candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal that alters turnout dynamics before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,830 Vol.
$24,830 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$24,830 Vol.
$24,830 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$17,054 Vol.
94%
共和党
$7,777 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks advanced unopposed through the canceled June 23 Democratic primary, preserving party resources and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee George Marsh and any general-election challengers face structural headwinds in a Queens-based seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this baseline, though low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, late candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal that alters turnout dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$24,830終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks advanced unopposed through the canceled June 23 Democratic primary, preserving party resources and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee George Marsh and any general-election challengers face structural headwinds in a Queens-based seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this baseline, though low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, late candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal that alters turnout dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,830終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 5th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+24 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid or safe ratings from nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Gregory Meeks advanced unopposed through the canceled June 23 Democratic primary, preserving party resources and name recognition ahead of the November 3 general election. Republican nominee George Marsh and any general-election challengers face structural headwinds in a Queens-based seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this baseline, though low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen national political wave, late candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal that alters turnout dynamics before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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