Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces Republican Sean Kirrane in New Jersey's 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Gottheimer secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the June primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 54.6 percent of the vote in a district spanning northern counties that has leaned Democratic in recent cycles. Kirrane, the sole Republican nominee, trails significantly in fundraising. Cook Political Report and similar analyses rate the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party an 89 percent implied probability of victory. Key factors include the incumbent's established voter base, limited Republican resources, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the district's partisan tilt ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,026 Vol.
$12,026 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
89%
共和党
11%
$12,026 Vol.
$12,026 Vol.
2026/11/04
民主党
$11,592 Vol.
89%
共和党
$434 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces Republican Sean Kirrane in New Jersey's 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Gottheimer secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the June primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 54.6 percent of the vote in a district spanning northern counties that has leaned Democratic in recent cycles. Kirrane, the sole Republican nominee, trails significantly in fundraising. Cook Political Report and similar analyses rate the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party an 89 percent implied probability of victory. Key factors include the incumbent's established voter base, limited Republican resources, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the district's partisan tilt ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
音量
$12,026終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces Republican Sean Kirrane in New Jersey's 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Gottheimer secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the June primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 54.6 percent of the vote in a district spanning northern counties that has leaned Democratic in recent cycles. Kirrane, the sole Republican nominee, trails significantly in fundraising. Cook Political Report and similar analyses rate the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party an 89 percent implied probability of victory. Key factors include the incumbent's established voter base, limited Republican resources, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the district's partisan tilt ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,026終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer faces Republican Sean Kirrane in New Jersey's 5th congressional district for the November 2026 general election. Gottheimer secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in the June primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 54.6 percent of the vote in a district spanning northern counties that has leaned Democratic in recent cycles. Kirrane, the sole Republican nominee, trails significantly in fundraising. Cook Political Report and similar analyses rate the seat as solidly Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns the Democratic Party an 89 percent implied probability of victory. Key factors include the incumbent's established voter base, limited Republican resources, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the district's partisan tilt ahead of the general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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