Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone's decisive primary win on June 2, 2026, with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited progressive challengers has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for New Jersey's 6th congressional district. The seat's D+5 partisan lean, Pallone's decades of incumbency since 1988, and substantial fundraising edge over unopposed Republican nominee Hillary Herzig underpin the 90.9% consensus probability. Independent and minor-party candidates show negligible support in early assessments. A major national midterm swing, unexpected scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,817 Vol.
$18,817 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
2%
$18,817 Vol.
$18,817 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$7,263 Vol.
92%
共和党
$11,554 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone's decisive primary win on June 2, 2026, with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited progressive challengers has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for New Jersey's 6th congressional district. The seat's D+5 partisan lean, Pallone's decades of incumbency since 1988, and substantial fundraising edge over unopposed Republican nominee Hillary Herzig underpin the 90.9% consensus probability. Independent and minor-party candidates show negligible support in early assessments. A major national midterm swing, unexpected scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$18,817終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone's decisive primary win on June 2, 2026, with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited progressive challengers has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for New Jersey's 6th congressional district. The seat's D+5 partisan lean, Pallone's decades of incumbency since 1988, and substantial fundraising edge over unopposed Republican nominee Hillary Herzig underpin the 90.9% consensus probability. Independent and minor-party candidates show negligible support in early assessments. A major national midterm swing, unexpected scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still narrow the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,817終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone's decisive primary win on June 2, 2026, with roughly two-thirds of the vote against limited progressive challengers has reinforced trader confidence in a Democratic hold for New Jersey's 6th congressional district. The seat's D+5 partisan lean, Pallone's decades of incumbency since 1988, and substantial fundraising edge over unopposed Republican nominee Hillary Herzig underpin the 90.9% consensus probability. Independent and minor-party candidates show negligible support in early assessments. A major national midterm swing, unexpected scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Republican turnout could still narrow the gap before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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