Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating progressive challengers and positioning himself for the November general election against Republican Hillary Herzig. The district's Democratic registration edge, coastal and suburban voter base, and consistent performance in prior cycles have shaped trader consensus around a wide margin for Democrats. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic. Late-cycle national shifts, unexpected turnout surges favoring Republicans, or significant developments affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,012 Vol.
$28,012 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$28,012 Vol.
$28,012 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,882 Vol.
94%
共和党
$19,129 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating progressive challengers and positioning himself for the November general election against Republican Hillary Herzig. The district's Democratic registration edge, coastal and suburban voter base, and consistent performance in prior cycles have shaped trader consensus around a wide margin for Democrats. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic. Late-cycle national shifts, unexpected turnout surges favoring Republicans, or significant developments affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$28,012終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating progressive challengers and positioning himself for the November general election against Republican Hillary Herzig. The district's Democratic registration edge, coastal and suburban voter base, and consistent performance in prior cycles have shaped trader consensus around a wide margin for Democrats. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic. Late-cycle national shifts, unexpected turnout surges favoring Republicans, or significant developments affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,012終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone secured the party nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, defeating progressive challengers and positioning himself for the November general election against Republican Hillary Herzig. The district's Democratic registration edge, coastal and suburban voter base, and consistent performance in prior cycles have shaped trader consensus around a wide margin for Democrats. Forecasters rate the race as solid or safe Democratic. Late-cycle national shifts, unexpected turnout surges favoring Republicans, or significant developments affecting the incumbent remain the primary variables that could narrow the implied probability before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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