**Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and supported Donald Trump by double digits in the prior cycle, aligning with its South Jersey base of Republican-leaning voters in areas such as Atlantic and Cape May counties. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and won his last general election with 58 percent of the vote. Democrats selected Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock as their nominee after his primary victory over several challengers, positioning him as the main general-election opponent. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader pricing on Polymarket, showing the Republican Party at 69.5 percent versus 29.5 percent for Democrats, tracks these structural advantages and the limited time remaining for national conditions or campaign developments to narrow the gap. The race remains subject to standard midterm variables such as turnout patterns and any late shifts in the broader political environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,773 Vol.
$15,773 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
70%
民主党
30%
$15,773 Vol.
$15,773 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$8,239 Vol.
70%
民主党
$7,534 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and supported Donald Trump by double digits in the prior cycle, aligning with its South Jersey base of Republican-leaning voters in areas such as Atlantic and Cape May counties. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and won his last general election with 58 percent of the vote.
Democrats selected Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock as their nominee after his primary victory over several challengers, positioning him as the main general-election opponent. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader pricing on Polymarket, showing the Republican Party at 69.5 percent versus 29.5 percent for Democrats, tracks these structural advantages and the limited time remaining for national conditions or campaign developments to narrow the gap. The race remains subject to standard midterm variables such as turnout patterns and any late shifts in the broader political environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$15,773終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and supported Donald Trump by double digits in the prior cycle, aligning with its South Jersey base of Republican-leaning voters in areas such as Atlantic and Cape May counties. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and won his last general election with 58 percent of the vote.
Democrats selected Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock as their nominee after his primary victory over several challengers, positioning him as the main general-election opponent. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader pricing on Polymarket, showing the Republican Party at 69.5 percent versus 29.5 percent for Democrats, tracks these structural advantages and the limited time remaining for national conditions or campaign developments to narrow the gap. The race remains subject to standard midterm variables such as turnout patterns and any late shifts in the broader political environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,773終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Jeff Van Drew holds a clear edge in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+5 and supported Donald Trump by double digits in the prior cycle, aligning with its South Jersey base of Republican-leaning voters in areas such as Atlantic and Cape May counties. Van Drew, a four-term member who switched parties in 2019, ran unopposed in the June 2 Republican primary and won his last general election with 58 percent of the vote. Democrats selected Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock as their nominee after his primary victory over several challengers, positioning him as the main general-election opponent. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball have rated the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Trader pricing on Polymarket, showing the Republican Party at 69.5 percent versus 29.5 percent for Democrats, tracks these structural advantages and the limited time remaining for national conditions or campaign developments to narrow the gap. The race remains subject to standard midterm variables such as turnout patterns and any late shifts in the broader political environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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