Washington’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report for the 2026 cycle. The August 4 top-two primary advanced Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney as the Republican nominee against Democrat John Duresky, confirming a general-election matchup on November 3 in a district that has elected Republicans for more than a decade. Dan Newhouse’s retirement opened the seat, but the crowded Republican field and district voting patterns produced the expected partisan outcome in the primary. Trader consensus at 90% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results, with limited Democratic performance in prior cycles constraining upside for the opposing party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,194 Vol.
$45,194 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
8%
$45,194 Vol.
$45,194 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$24,210 Vol.
90%
民主党
$20,984 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report for the 2026 cycle. The August 4 top-two primary advanced Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney as the Republican nominee against Democrat John Duresky, confirming a general-election matchup on November 3 in a district that has elected Republicans for more than a decade. Dan Newhouse’s retirement opened the seat, but the crowded Republican field and district voting patterns produced the expected partisan outcome in the primary. Trader consensus at 90% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results, with limited Democratic performance in prior cycles constraining upside for the opposing party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$45,194終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report for the 2026 cycle. The August 4 top-two primary advanced Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney as the Republican nominee against Democrat John Duresky, confirming a general-election matchup on November 3 in a district that has elected Republicans for more than a decade. Dan Newhouse’s retirement opened the seat, but the crowded Republican field and district voting patterns produced the expected partisan outcome in the primary. Trader consensus at 90% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results, with limited Democratic performance in prior cycles constraining upside for the opposing party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,194終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican partisan lean, reflected in its Solid Republican rating from the Cook Political Report for the 2026 cycle. The August 4 top-two primary advanced Yakima County Commissioner Amanda McKinney as the Republican nominee against Democrat John Duresky, confirming a general-election matchup on November 3 in a district that has elected Republicans for more than a decade. Dan Newhouse’s retirement opened the seat, but the crowded Republican field and district voting patterns produced the expected partisan outcome in the primary. Trader consensus at 90% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and historical results, with limited Democratic performance in prior cycles constraining upside for the opposing party.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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