The solidly Democratic character of Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, centered in Philadelphia, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary after securing 71.5 percent in 2024, while facing Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index, consistent election margins, and urban voter base. Limited Republican fundraising and organizational presence further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$30,381 Vol.
$30,381 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$30,381 Vol.
$30,381 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,352 Vol.
95%
共和党
$24,029 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, centered in Philadelphia, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary after securing 71.5 percent in 2024, while facing Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index, consistent election margins, and urban voter base. Limited Republican fundraising and organizational presence further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$30,381終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic character of Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, centered in Philadelphia, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary after securing 71.5 percent in 2024, while facing Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index, consistent election margins, and urban voter base. Limited Republican fundraising and organizational presence further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,381終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic character of Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, centered in Philadelphia, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95 percent. Incumbent Representative Brendan Boyle advanced unopposed through the May 2026 primary after securing 71.5 percent in 2024, while facing Republican nominee Jessica Arriaga in the November general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solidly Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index, consistent election margins, and urban voter base. Limited Republican fundraising and organizational presence further reinforce the positioning. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health event, or unforeseen national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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