The Republican Party holds an 80.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the SC-02 House seat due to the district's established conservative lean and the presence of long-serving incumbent Joe Wilson in the June 9 Republican primary against limited challengers. Democratic candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters, with their primary field not expected to alter the general election outlook on November 3. Market pricing on other outcomes reflects uncertainty around specific nominees ahead of the imminent primary, while the Democratic Party's lower share aligns with historical results and limited recent polling shifts in this central South Carolina district. No major developments in the past 30 days have changed the competitive landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,733 Vol.
$31,733 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
17%
$31,733 Vol.
$31,733 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,474 Vol.
81%
民主党
$21,259 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 80.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the SC-02 House seat due to the district's established conservative lean and the presence of long-serving incumbent Joe Wilson in the June 9 Republican primary against limited challengers. Democratic candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters, with their primary field not expected to alter the general election outlook on November 3. Market pricing on other outcomes reflects uncertainty around specific nominees ahead of the imminent primary, while the Democratic Party's lower share aligns with historical results and limited recent polling shifts in this central South Carolina district. No major developments in the past 30 days have changed the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$31,733終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds an 80.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the SC-02 House seat due to the district's established conservative lean and the presence of long-serving incumbent Joe Wilson in the June 9 Republican primary against limited challengers. Democratic candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters, with their primary field not expected to alter the general election outlook on November 3. Market pricing on other outcomes reflects uncertainty around specific nominees ahead of the imminent primary, while the Democratic Party's lower share aligns with historical results and limited recent polling shifts in this central South Carolina district. No major developments in the past 30 days have changed the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,733終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds an 80.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the SC-02 House seat due to the district's established conservative lean and the presence of long-serving incumbent Joe Wilson in the June 9 Republican primary against limited challengers. Democratic candidates face structural barriers in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters, with their primary field not expected to alter the general election outlook on November 3. Market pricing on other outcomes reflects uncertainty around specific nominees ahead of the imminent primary, while the Democratic Party's lower share aligns with historical results and limited recent polling shifts in this central South Carolina district. No major developments in the past 30 days have changed the competitive landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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