**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district following his decisive primary victory on June 9.** The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% Republican outcome price. Wilson secured 74% in the GOP primary against two challengers, clearing the path to the November 3 general election with minimal opposition risk. Democratic candidates advanced to a June 23 runoff, but the party’s 16.5% implied probability aligns with the seat’s structural barriers and historical results. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, with no recent polling or events indicating meaningful shifts in the race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,735 Vol.
$31,735 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
17%
$31,735 Vol.
$31,735 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,474 Vol.
81%
民主党
$21,261 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district following his decisive primary victory on June 9.** The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% Republican outcome price. Wilson secured 74% in the GOP primary against two challengers, clearing the path to the November 3 general election with minimal opposition risk. Democratic candidates advanced to a June 23 runoff, but the party’s 16.5% implied probability aligns with the seat’s structural barriers and historical results. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, with no recent polling or events indicating meaningful shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$31,735終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district following his decisive primary victory on June 9.** The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% Republican outcome price. Wilson secured 74% in the GOP primary against two challengers, clearing the path to the November 3 general election with minimal opposition risk. Democratic candidates advanced to a June 23 runoff, but the party’s 16.5% implied probability aligns with the seat’s structural barriers and historical results. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, with no recent polling or events indicating meaningful shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,735終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district following his decisive primary victory on June 9.** The district’s R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a 14-point Trump margin in 2024, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% Republican outcome price. Wilson secured 74% in the GOP primary against two challengers, clearing the path to the November 3 general election with minimal opposition risk. Democratic candidates advanced to a June 23 runoff, but the party’s 16.5% implied probability aligns with the seat’s structural barriers and historical results. Cook Political Report maintains a Solid Republican rating, with no recent polling or events indicating meaningful shifts in the race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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