**Republican Party leads trader consensus at 80.5%** for the SC-02 general election winner, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt and the recent primary results. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination on June 9, 2026, with 74% of the vote against two challengers, preserving party continuity ahead of the November 3 contest. Democratic contenders advanced to a June 23 runoff between David Robinson II and Zyon Khalifa after a four-candidate primary, but the seat’s Solid Republican rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report limits Democratic general-election prospects to 16.5%. A Workers Party candidate, Dayna Alane Smith, and any additional independent entries account for the elevated “Other” share near 50%. Traders price the race around incumbency advantage, district voting patterns, and the absence of competitive indicators in recent cycles. The upcoming Democratic runoff and November general remain the primary scheduled events that could shift positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,735 Vol.
$31,735 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
81%
民主党
17%
$31,735 Vol.
$31,735 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,474 Vol.
81%
民主党
$21,261 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Party leads trader consensus at 80.5%** for the SC-02 general election winner, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt and the recent primary results. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination on June 9, 2026, with 74% of the vote against two challengers, preserving party continuity ahead of the November 3 contest.
Democratic contenders advanced to a June 23 runoff between David Robinson II and Zyon Khalifa after a four-candidate primary, but the seat’s Solid Republican rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report limits Democratic general-election prospects to 16.5%. A Workers Party candidate, Dayna Alane Smith, and any additional independent entries account for the elevated “Other” share near 50%.
Traders price the race around incumbency advantage, district voting patterns, and the absence of competitive indicators in recent cycles. The upcoming Democratic runoff and November general remain the primary scheduled events that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$31,735終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican Party leads trader consensus at 80.5%** for the SC-02 general election winner, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt and the recent primary results. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination on June 9, 2026, with 74% of the vote against two challengers, preserving party continuity ahead of the November 3 contest.
Democratic contenders advanced to a June 23 runoff between David Robinson II and Zyon Khalifa after a four-candidate primary, but the seat’s Solid Republican rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report limits Democratic general-election prospects to 16.5%. A Workers Party candidate, Dayna Alane Smith, and any additional independent entries account for the elevated “Other” share near 50%.
Traders price the race around incumbency advantage, district voting patterns, and the absence of competitive indicators in recent cycles. The upcoming Democratic runoff and November general remain the primary scheduled events that could shift positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,735終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican Party leads trader consensus at 80.5%** for the SC-02 general election winner, reflecting the district’s strong Republican tilt and the recent primary results. Incumbent Joe Wilson secured the GOP nomination on June 9, 2026, with 74% of the vote against two challengers, preserving party continuity ahead of the November 3 contest. Democratic contenders advanced to a June 23 runoff between David Robinson II and Zyon Khalifa after a four-candidate primary, but the seat’s Solid Republican rating from forecasters such as the Cook Political Report limits Democratic general-election prospects to 16.5%. A Workers Party candidate, Dayna Alane Smith, and any additional independent entries account for the elevated “Other” share near 50%. Traders price the race around incumbency advantage, district voting patterns, and the absence of competitive indicators in recent cycles. The upcoming Democratic runoff and November general remain the primary scheduled events that could shift positioning before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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