Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its established R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 13.5-point Trump victory in 2024. Emmer, serving as House Majority Whip, secured the Republican nomination with over 80% in the August primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and name recognition. The Democratic-Farmer-Labor nominee, Doug Chapin, advanced unopposed but trails significantly in positioning for the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus around 90% for the Republican outcome reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in polling or national conditions. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,423 Vol.
$41,423 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
91%
民主党
10%
$41,423 Vol.
$41,423 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$23,380 Vol.
91%
民主党
$18,043 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its established R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 13.5-point Trump victory in 2024. Emmer, serving as House Majority Whip, secured the Republican nomination with over 80% in the August primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and name recognition. The Democratic-Farmer-Labor nominee, Doug Chapin, advanced unopposed but trails significantly in positioning for the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus around 90% for the Republican outcome reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in polling or national conditions. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$41,423終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its established R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 13.5-point Trump victory in 2024. Emmer, serving as House Majority Whip, secured the Republican nomination with over 80% in the August primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and name recognition. The Democratic-Farmer-Labor nominee, Doug Chapin, advanced unopposed but trails significantly in positioning for the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus around 90% for the Republican outcome reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in polling or national conditions. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,423終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district due to its established R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including a 13.5-point Trump victory in 2024. Emmer, serving as House Majority Whip, secured the Republican nomination with over 80% in the August primary and benefits from substantial fundraising and name recognition. The Democratic-Farmer-Labor nominee, Doug Chapin, advanced unopposed but trails significantly in positioning for the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Trader consensus around 90% for the Republican outcome reflects these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in polling or national conditions. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national partisan swing could still narrow the gap before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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