Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer’s dominant position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent Republican tilt, including a double-digit partisan lean reflected in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Emmer secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin faces the general election with modest fundraising and no major polling momentum. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on an overwhelming Republican outcome in the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to late national headwinds, unexpected turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate developments that could narrow margins in this suburban and exurban district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,423 Vol.
$41,423 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
91%
民主党
10%
$41,423 Vol.
$41,423 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$23,380 Vol.
91%
民主党
$18,043 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer’s dominant position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent Republican tilt, including a double-digit partisan lean reflected in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Emmer secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin faces the general election with modest fundraising and no major polling momentum. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on an overwhelming Republican outcome in the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to late national headwinds, unexpected turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate developments that could narrow margins in this suburban and exurban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$41,423終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer’s dominant position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent Republican tilt, including a double-digit partisan lean reflected in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Emmer secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin faces the general election with modest fundraising and no major polling momentum. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on an overwhelming Republican outcome in the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to late national headwinds, unexpected turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate developments that could narrow margins in this suburban and exurban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,423終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer’s dominant position in Minnesota’s 6th congressional district stems from the seat’s consistent Republican tilt, including a double-digit partisan lean reflected in recent presidential results and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+10. Emmer secured the GOP nomination in the August primary with roughly 81 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin faces the general election with modest fundraising and no major polling momentum. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on an overwhelming Republican outcome in the November general election. Potential shifts remain limited to late national headwinds, unexpected turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate developments that could narrow margins in this suburban and exurban district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問