Minnesota's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rating the 2026 race as safe or solid for the GOP. The district's R+10 partisan voter index, based on recent presidential results, and the 62% margin secured by incumbent Republican Tom Emmer in 2024 underpin trader consensus favoring continued Republican control. Democratic primary candidates, including Doug Chapin and others, face structural challenges in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks, the implied probability reflects the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited path to a competitive contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,868 Vol.
$10,868 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
70%
民主党
24%
$10,868 Vol.
$10,868 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$5,873 Vol.
70%
民主党
$4,995 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rating the 2026 race as safe or solid for the GOP. The district's R+10 partisan voter index, based on recent presidential results, and the 62% margin secured by incumbent Republican Tom Emmer in 2024 underpin trader consensus favoring continued Republican control. Democratic primary candidates, including Doug Chapin and others, face structural challenges in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks, the implied probability reflects the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited path to a competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$10,868終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rating the 2026 race as safe or solid for the GOP. The district's R+10 partisan voter index, based on recent presidential results, and the 62% margin secured by incumbent Republican Tom Emmer in 2024 underpin trader consensus favoring continued Republican control. Democratic primary candidates, including Doug Chapin and others, face structural challenges in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks, the implied probability reflects the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited path to a competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,868終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all rating the 2026 race as safe or solid for the GOP. The district's R+10 partisan voter index, based on recent presidential results, and the 62% margin secured by incumbent Republican Tom Emmer in 2024 underpin trader consensus favoring continued Republican control. Democratic primary candidates, including Doug Chapin and others, face structural challenges in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 1998. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks, the implied probability reflects the district's consistent partisan baseline and limited path to a competitive contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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