Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race, where traders assign him a 96.8% implied probability of victory. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters, underpins this consensus. Gill secured renomination with 91% in the March primary and benefits from incumbency advantages including fundraising and name recognition in a northwestern Dallas-Fort Worth area redrawn to favor Republicans. Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who narrowly won his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,674 Vol.
$34,674 Vol.
2026/11/03
ブランドン・ギル（共和党）
97%
スティーブン・シュック（民主党）
3%
$34,674 Vol.
$34,674 Vol.
2026/11/03
ブランドン・ギル（共和党）
$22,357 Vol.
97%
スティーブン・シュック（民主党）
$12,318 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race, where traders assign him a 96.8% implied probability of victory. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters, underpins this consensus. Gill secured renomination with 91% in the March primary and benefits from incumbency advantages including fundraising and name recognition in a northwestern Dallas-Fort Worth area redrawn to favor Republicans. Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who narrowly won his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$34,674終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race, where traders assign him a 96.8% implied probability of victory. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters, underpins this consensus. Gill secured renomination with 91% in the March primary and benefits from incumbency advantages including fundraising and name recognition in a northwestern Dallas-Fort Worth area redrawn to favor Republicans. Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who narrowly won his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,674終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race, where traders assign him a 96.8% implied probability of victory. The district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024 and consistent "Solid Republican" ratings from forecasters, underpins this consensus. Gill secured renomination with 91% in the March primary and benefits from incumbency advantages including fundraising and name recognition in a northwestern Dallas-Fort Worth area redrawn to favor Republicans. Democratic nominee Steven Shook, a nurse practitioner who narrowly won his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election, though no such catalysts have emerged.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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