Incumbent Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, positioning him against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas's 28th congressional district. The district's South Texas demographics, including substantial Hispanic voter blocs and border communities, have historically supported Cuellar's reelection bids, contributing to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing that favors the Democratic outcome. With both major-party candidates now set following the primaries, limited new developments have emerged in recent weeks to shift assessments of the race, though factors such as turnout patterns, national political environment, and candidate fundraising could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
66%
共和党
31%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,072 Vol.
66%
共和党
$353 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, positioning him against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas's 28th congressional district. The district's South Texas demographics, including substantial Hispanic voter blocs and border communities, have historically supported Cuellar's reelection bids, contributing to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing that favors the Democratic outcome. With both major-party candidates now set following the primaries, limited new developments have emerged in recent weeks to shift assessments of the race, though factors such as turnout patterns, national political environment, and candidate fundraising could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$1,426終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, positioning him against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas's 28th congressional district. The district's South Texas demographics, including substantial Hispanic voter blocs and border communities, have historically supported Cuellar's reelection bids, contributing to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing that favors the Democratic outcome. With both major-party candidates now set following the primaries, limited new developments have emerged in recent weeks to shift assessments of the race, though factors such as turnout patterns, national political environment, and candidate fundraising could still influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,426終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Henry Cuellar secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary, positioning him against Republican nominee Tano Tijerina in the November general election for Texas's 28th congressional district. The district's South Texas demographics, including substantial Hispanic voter blocs and border communities, have historically supported Cuellar's reelection bids, contributing to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing that favors the Democratic outcome. With both major-party candidates now set following the primaries, limited new developments have emerged in recent weeks to shift assessments of the race, though factors such as turnout patterns, national political environment, and candidate fundraising could still influence the final margin.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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