Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj in the November general election. New York’s 14th district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. High fundraising by the incumbent and limited Republican organization in the Bronx-Queens area further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,272 Vol.
$43,272 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$43,272 Vol.
$43,272 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$29,734 Vol.
95%
共和党
$13,538 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj in the November general election. New York’s 14th district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. High fundraising by the incumbent and limited Republican organization in the Bronx-Queens area further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$43,272終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj in the November general election. New York’s 14th district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. High fundraising by the incumbent and limited Republican organization in the Bronx-Queens area further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,272終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, advancing to face Republican nominee Diamant Hysenaj in the November general election. New York’s 14th district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical results, supporting the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic candidate. High fundraising by the incumbent and limited Republican organization in the Bronx-Queens area further reinforce this positioning. A major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or dramatic national political realignment could still alter the outcome, though such developments remain low-probability factors in the current cycle.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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