The heavily Democratic partisan composition of New York’s 13th congressional district, anchored in Upper Manhattan neighborhoods with longstanding voting patterns favoring the party, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a competitive June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic with a partisan lean exceeding 30 points. The Republican nominee, Manual Williams, advances unopposed in a canceled primary but confronts structural barriers typical of the district. Recent polling and race ratings show no meaningful erosion of this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal or extraordinary turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,775 Vol.
$33,775 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
5%
$33,775 Vol.
$33,775 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$21,733 Vol.
96%
共和党
$12,042 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan composition of New York’s 13th congressional district, anchored in Upper Manhattan neighborhoods with longstanding voting patterns favoring the party, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a competitive June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic with a partisan lean exceeding 30 points. The Republican nominee, Manual Williams, advances unopposed in a canceled primary but confronts structural barriers typical of the district. Recent polling and race ratings show no meaningful erosion of this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal or extraordinary turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$33,775終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan composition of New York’s 13th congressional district, anchored in Upper Manhattan neighborhoods with longstanding voting patterns favoring the party, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a competitive June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic with a partisan lean exceeding 30 points. The Republican nominee, Manual Williams, advances unopposed in a canceled primary but confronts structural barriers typical of the district. Recent polling and race ratings show no meaningful erosion of this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal or extraordinary turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,775終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic partisan composition of New York’s 13th congressional district, anchored in Upper Manhattan neighborhoods with longstanding voting patterns favoring the party, underpins trader consensus for a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Adriano Espaillat faces a competitive June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic with a partisan lean exceeding 30 points. The Republican nominee, Manual Williams, advances unopposed in a canceled primary but confronts structural barriers typical of the district. Recent polling and race ratings show no meaningful erosion of this positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen scandal or extraordinary turnout anomaly capable of overcoming the district’s entrenched margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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