New York’s 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and the northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent presidential results above 85 percent for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a notable shift when incumbent Adriano Espaillat lost to Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general-election contest on November 3 still centers on the Democratic nominee against Republican opponents. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 96 percent aligns with the district’s voter enrollment, urban demographics, and absence of competitive structural factors. A meaningful challenge would require an unprecedented national partisan swing, major nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for this seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,522 Vol.
$39,522 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$39,522 Vol.
$39,522 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$27,078 Vol.
96%
共和党
$12,445 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and the northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent presidential results above 85 percent for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a notable shift when incumbent Adriano Espaillat lost to Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general-election contest on November 3 still centers on the Democratic nominee against Republican opponents. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 96 percent aligns with the district’s voter enrollment, urban demographics, and absence of competitive structural factors. A meaningful challenge would require an unprecedented national partisan swing, major nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$39,522終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and the northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent presidential results above 85 percent for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a notable shift when incumbent Adriano Espaillat lost to Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general-election contest on November 3 still centers on the Democratic nominee against Republican opponents. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 96 percent aligns with the district’s voter enrollment, urban demographics, and absence of competitive structural factors. A meaningful challenge would require an unprecedented national partisan swing, major nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,522終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district, encompassing Upper Manhattan and the northwest Bronx, has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+30 and consistent presidential results above 85 percent for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced a notable shift when incumbent Adriano Espaillat lost to Darializa Avila Chevalier, yet the general-election contest on November 3 still centers on the Democratic nominee against Republican opponents. Trader consensus pricing Democratic victory near 96 percent aligns with the district’s voter enrollment, urban demographics, and absence of competitive structural factors. A meaningful challenge would require an unprecedented national partisan swing, major nominee-specific developments, or turnout anomalies far outside historical patterns for this seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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