Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured the TX-13 nomination after defeating a primary challenger by nearly 80 points in March 2026 and now faces Democrat Mark Nair in the November general election. The Panhandle-based district has long favored Republicans, with Donald Trump carrying it by more than 40 points in 2024 and consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP. Jackson’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling in the race reinforce trader expectations of continued Republican control. A significant national Democratic wave, late personal or legal developments involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors in the district make major shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
5%
$18,978 Vol.
$18,978 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$3,466 Vol.
95%
民主党
$15,513 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured the TX-13 nomination after defeating a primary challenger by nearly 80 points in March 2026 and now faces Democrat Mark Nair in the November general election. The Panhandle-based district has long favored Republicans, with Donald Trump carrying it by more than 40 points in 2024 and consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP. Jackson’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling in the race reinforce trader expectations of continued Republican control. A significant national Democratic wave, late personal or legal developments involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors in the district make major shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$18,978終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured the TX-13 nomination after defeating a primary challenger by nearly 80 points in March 2026 and now faces Democrat Mark Nair in the November general election. The Panhandle-based district has long favored Republicans, with Donald Trump carrying it by more than 40 points in 2024 and consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP. Jackson’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling in the race reinforce trader expectations of continued Republican control. A significant national Democratic wave, late personal or legal developments involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors in the district make major shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,978終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ronny Jackson secured the TX-13 nomination after defeating a primary challenger by nearly 80 points in March 2026 and now faces Democrat Mark Nair in the November general election. The Panhandle-based district has long favored Republicans, with Donald Trump carrying it by more than 40 points in 2024 and consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts classifying the seat as safe or solid for the GOP. Jackson’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling in the race reinforce trader expectations of continued Republican control. A significant national Democratic wave, late personal or legal developments involving the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though structural factors in the district make major shifts improbable before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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