Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a structural edge in Florida’s 13th congressional district, where post-2026 redistricting produced an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Luna’s incumbency, stronger fundraising, and polling averages showing a modest lead reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democrat Leela Gray, who won her August primary decisively as a retired brigadier general, has closed the gap in some surveys, including a late-August Democratic poll showing her ahead, though other recent polling keeps the race within single digits. An independent candidate adds minor vote-share uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
72%
民主党
28%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$3,240 Vol.
72%
民主党
$4,508 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a structural edge in Florida’s 13th congressional district, where post-2026 redistricting produced an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Luna’s incumbency, stronger fundraising, and polling averages showing a modest lead reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democrat Leela Gray, who won her August primary decisively as a retired brigadier general, has closed the gap in some surveys, including a late-August Democratic poll showing her ahead, though other recent polling keeps the race within single digits. An independent candidate adds minor vote-share uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
音量
$7,749終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a structural edge in Florida’s 13th congressional district, where post-2026 redistricting produced an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Luna’s incumbency, stronger fundraising, and polling averages showing a modest lead reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democrat Leela Gray, who won her August primary decisively as a retired brigadier general, has closed the gap in some surveys, including a late-August Democratic poll showing her ahead, though other recent polling keeps the race within single digits. An independent candidate adds minor vote-share uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,749終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Anna Paulina Luna holds a structural edge in Florida’s 13th congressional district, where post-2026 redistricting produced an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and multiple forecasters rate the seat Likely Republican. Luna’s incumbency, stronger fundraising, and polling averages showing a modest lead reinforce trader consensus around a Republican outcome. Democrat Leela Gray, who won her August primary decisively as a retired brigadier general, has closed the gap in some surveys, including a late-August Democratic poll showing her ahead, though other recent polling keeps the race within single digits. An independent candidate adds minor vote-share uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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