Recent redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 shifted Florida's 14th Congressional District toward a more competitive partisan balance, with analysts now rating it Lean Republican after it previously favored Democrats. Incumbent Kathy Castor faces a Democratic primary challenge while multiple Republicans, including recent entrants like Mike Beltran, have filed for the August 18 primary ahead of the November general election. These map changes, combined with Castor's long tenure and fundraising edge, have kept trader assessments nearly even as both parties position resources for a battleground contest that could hinge on primary outcomes and turnout in the Tampa Bay area.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,055 Vol.
$21,055 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
51%
民主党
50%
$21,055 Vol.
$21,055 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,853 Vol.
51%
民主党
$9,202 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 shifted Florida's 14th Congressional District toward a more competitive partisan balance, with analysts now rating it Lean Republican after it previously favored Democrats. Incumbent Kathy Castor faces a Democratic primary challenge while multiple Republicans, including recent entrants like Mike Beltran, have filed for the August 18 primary ahead of the November general election. These map changes, combined with Castor's long tenure and fundraising edge, have kept trader assessments nearly even as both parties position resources for a battleground contest that could hinge on primary outcomes and turnout in the Tampa Bay area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$21,055終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 shifted Florida's 14th Congressional District toward a more competitive partisan balance, with analysts now rating it Lean Republican after it previously favored Democrats. Incumbent Kathy Castor faces a Democratic primary challenge while multiple Republicans, including recent entrants like Mike Beltran, have filed for the August 18 primary ahead of the November general election. These map changes, combined with Castor's long tenure and fundraising edge, have kept trader assessments nearly even as both parties position resources for a battleground contest that could hinge on primary outcomes and turnout in the Tampa Bay area.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,055終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting approved by the Florida legislature in late April 2026 shifted Florida's 14th Congressional District toward a more competitive partisan balance, with analysts now rating it Lean Republican after it previously favored Democrats. Incumbent Kathy Castor faces a Democratic primary challenge while multiple Republicans, including recent entrants like Mike Beltran, have filed for the August 18 primary ahead of the November general election. These map changes, combined with Castor's long tenure and fundraising edge, have kept trader assessments nearly even as both parties position resources for a battleground contest that could hinge on primary outcomes and turnout in the Tampa Bay area.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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