Florida's 14th congressional district remains a closely contested race ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican Party holding a slim 51.5% edge over Democrats at 49.5% in trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a primary challenge from Juan Arauz on August 18, while Republican candidates including Mike Beltran compete in their own primary the same day. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as leaning Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and broader midterm dynamics. Limited polling and filing activity near the June deadline keep probabilities balanced, with separation likely depending on primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and national political trends through the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,053 Vol.
$21,053 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
52%
民主党
51%
$21,053 Vol.
$21,053 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,851 Vol.
52%
民主党
$9,202 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district remains a closely contested race ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican Party holding a slim 51.5% edge over Democrats at 49.5% in trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a primary challenge from Juan Arauz on August 18, while Republican candidates including Mike Beltran compete in their own primary the same day. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as leaning Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and broader midterm dynamics. Limited polling and filing activity near the June deadline keep probabilities balanced, with separation likely depending on primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and national political trends through the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$21,053終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 14th congressional district remains a closely contested race ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican Party holding a slim 51.5% edge over Democrats at 49.5% in trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a primary challenge from Juan Arauz on August 18, while Republican candidates including Mike Beltran compete in their own primary the same day. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as leaning Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and broader midterm dynamics. Limited polling and filing activity near the June deadline keep probabilities balanced, with separation likely depending on primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and national political trends through the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,053終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 14th congressional district remains a closely contested race ahead of the November 2026 general election, with the Republican Party holding a slim 51.5% edge over Democrats at 49.5% in trader consensus. Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a primary challenge from Juan Arauz on August 18, while Republican candidates including Mike Beltran compete in their own primary the same day. Recent nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as leaning Republican, reflecting the district's partisan voting index and broader midterm dynamics. Limited polling and filing activity near the June deadline keep probabilities balanced, with separation likely depending on primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and national political trends through the fall campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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