Recent redistricting approved in late April and early May 2026 shifted Florida’s 14th congressional district to a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of R+4, tightening the contest between longtime Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor and the eventual Republican nominee. Trader consensus at even odds reflects the map change alongside Castor’s established name recognition, fundraising edge, and performance in prior cycles. With primaries set for August 18, 2026, and the general election on November 3, the race remains competitive due to the district’s Tampa-area demographics and potential turnout variations among key voting blocs. Upcoming candidate filings and primary results could clarify the matchup and influence positioning ahead of November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,053 Vol.
$21,053 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
51%
民主党
51%
$21,053 Vol.
$21,053 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$11,851 Vol.
51%
民主党
$9,202 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved in late April and early May 2026 shifted Florida’s 14th congressional district to a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of R+4, tightening the contest between longtime Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor and the eventual Republican nominee. Trader consensus at even odds reflects the map change alongside Castor’s established name recognition, fundraising edge, and performance in prior cycles. With primaries set for August 18, 2026, and the general election on November 3, the race remains competitive due to the district’s Tampa-area demographics and potential turnout variations among key voting blocs. Upcoming candidate filings and primary results could clarify the matchup and influence positioning ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$21,053終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting approved in late April and early May 2026 shifted Florida’s 14th congressional district to a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of R+4, tightening the contest between longtime Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor and the eventual Republican nominee. Trader consensus at even odds reflects the map change alongside Castor’s established name recognition, fundraising edge, and performance in prior cycles. With primaries set for August 18, 2026, and the general election on November 3, the race remains competitive due to the district’s Tampa-area demographics and potential turnout variations among key voting blocs. Upcoming candidate filings and primary results could clarify the matchup and influence positioning ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,053終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting approved in late April and early May 2026 shifted Florida’s 14th congressional district to a Republican-leaning partisan voting index of R+4, tightening the contest between longtime Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor and the eventual Republican nominee. Trader consensus at even odds reflects the map change alongside Castor’s established name recognition, fundraising edge, and performance in prior cycles. With primaries set for August 18, 2026, and the general election on November 3, the race remains competitive due to the district’s Tampa-area demographics and potential turnout variations among key voting blocs. Upcoming candidate filings and primary results could clarify the matchup and influence positioning ahead of November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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