Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 14th Congressional District toward a Republican tilt, with the area backing Trump by roughly 11 points in 2024, prompting a crowded GOP primary and national party attention. Mike Beltran emerged as the Republican nominee after the August 18 primary, drawing support from the NRCC as a former state representative. Kathy Castor, the Democratic incumbent with two decades in office and no primary opposition, maintains an edge through superior name recognition and a July poll showing her ahead 46% to 38%. Mixed race ratings from forecasters reflect the district’s new composition, yet trader pricing aligns with Castor’s incumbency advantage and recent legislative visibility on issues like utility rates. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,822 Vol.
$45,822 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・キャスター（民主党）
63%
マイク・ベルトラン（共和党）
36%
$45,822 Vol.
$45,822 Vol.
2026/11/02
キャシー・キャスター（民主党）
$23,541 Vol.
63%
マイク・ベルトラン（共和党）
$22,281 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 14th Congressional District toward a Republican tilt, with the area backing Trump by roughly 11 points in 2024, prompting a crowded GOP primary and national party attention. Mike Beltran emerged as the Republican nominee after the August 18 primary, drawing support from the NRCC as a former state representative. Kathy Castor, the Democratic incumbent with two decades in office and no primary opposition, maintains an edge through superior name recognition and a July poll showing her ahead 46% to 38%. Mixed race ratings from forecasters reflect the district’s new composition, yet trader pricing aligns with Castor’s incumbency advantage and recent legislative visibility on issues like utility rates. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$45,822終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 14th Congressional District toward a Republican tilt, with the area backing Trump by roughly 11 points in 2024, prompting a crowded GOP primary and national party attention. Mike Beltran emerged as the Republican nominee after the August 18 primary, drawing support from the NRCC as a former state representative. Kathy Castor, the Democratic incumbent with two decades in office and no primary opposition, maintains an edge through superior name recognition and a July poll showing her ahead 46% to 38%. Mixed race ratings from forecasters reflect the district’s new composition, yet trader pricing aligns with Castor’s incumbency advantage and recent legislative visibility on issues like utility rates. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,822終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has shifted Florida’s 14th Congressional District toward a Republican tilt, with the area backing Trump by roughly 11 points in 2024, prompting a crowded GOP primary and national party attention. Mike Beltran emerged as the Republican nominee after the August 18 primary, drawing support from the NRCC as a former state representative. Kathy Castor, the Democratic incumbent with two decades in office and no primary opposition, maintains an edge through superior name recognition and a July poll showing her ahead 46% to 38%. Mixed race ratings from forecasters reflect the district’s new composition, yet trader pricing aligns with Castor’s incumbency advantage and recent legislative visibility on issues like utility rates. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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