The competitive dynamics in Florida's 14th congressional district stem from Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor's long tenure and primary challenge from Juan Arauz ahead of the August 18 primary, set against a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and multiple GOP primary contenders following the June filing deadline. Analyst ratings classify the seat as lean Republican, yet trader pricing around 54.5% for Democrats versus 50% for Republicans captures uncertainty over candidate emergence, turnout in Hillsborough and surrounding counties, and national midterm conditions that could shift voter priorities on issues like the economy and immigration. Outcomes in the primaries or late-cycle polling shifts could widen the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,127 Vol.
$21,127 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
55%
共和党
50%
$21,127 Vol.
$21,127 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,267 Vol.
55%
共和党
$11,859 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive dynamics in Florida's 14th congressional district stem from Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor's long tenure and primary challenge from Juan Arauz ahead of the August 18 primary, set against a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and multiple GOP primary contenders following the June filing deadline. Analyst ratings classify the seat as lean Republican, yet trader pricing around 54.5% for Democrats versus 50% for Republicans captures uncertainty over candidate emergence, turnout in Hillsborough and surrounding counties, and national midterm conditions that could shift voter priorities on issues like the economy and immigration. Outcomes in the primaries or late-cycle polling shifts could widen the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$21,127終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The competitive dynamics in Florida's 14th congressional district stem from Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor's long tenure and primary challenge from Juan Arauz ahead of the August 18 primary, set against a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and multiple GOP primary contenders following the June filing deadline. Analyst ratings classify the seat as lean Republican, yet trader pricing around 54.5% for Democrats versus 50% for Republicans captures uncertainty over candidate emergence, turnout in Hillsborough and surrounding counties, and national midterm conditions that could shift voter priorities on issues like the economy and immigration. Outcomes in the primaries or late-cycle polling shifts could widen the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,127終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The competitive dynamics in Florida's 14th congressional district stem from Democratic incumbent Kathy Castor's long tenure and primary challenge from Juan Arauz ahead of the August 18 primary, set against a Republican-leaning partisan voting index and multiple GOP primary contenders following the June filing deadline. Analyst ratings classify the seat as lean Republican, yet trader pricing around 54.5% for Democrats versus 50% for Republicans captures uncertainty over candidate emergence, turnout in Hillsborough and surrounding counties, and national midterm conditions that could shift voter priorities on issues like the economy and immigration. Outcomes in the primaries or late-cycle polling shifts could widen the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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