Incumbent Republican Randy Weber faces Democrat Thurman Bill Bartie in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 14th congressional district. The seat’s partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Political Report PVI of R+17 and Donald Trump’s 25-point margin there in 2024, underpins the 94.5% Republican implied probability. Weber secured renomination with nearly 89% of the primary vote after redistricting preserved the district’s Gulf Coast core across Galveston, Brazoria, and parts of Jefferson and Orange counties. Bartie emerged from a low-turnout Democratic runoff but lacks the resources or structural advantages to overcome the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent statewide and federal contests. All major rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,444 Vol.
$23,444 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
95%
民主党
6%
$23,444 Vol.
$23,444 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$9,570 Vol.
95%
民主党
$13,874 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Randy Weber faces Democrat Thurman Bill Bartie in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 14th congressional district. The seat’s partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Political Report PVI of R+17 and Donald Trump’s 25-point margin there in 2024, underpins the 94.5% Republican implied probability. Weber secured renomination with nearly 89% of the primary vote after redistricting preserved the district’s Gulf Coast core across Galveston, Brazoria, and parts of Jefferson and Orange counties. Bartie emerged from a low-turnout Democratic runoff but lacks the resources or structural advantages to overcome the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent statewide and federal contests. All major rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$23,444終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Randy Weber faces Democrat Thurman Bill Bartie in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 14th congressional district. The seat’s partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Political Report PVI of R+17 and Donald Trump’s 25-point margin there in 2024, underpins the 94.5% Republican implied probability. Weber secured renomination with nearly 89% of the primary vote after redistricting preserved the district’s Gulf Coast core across Galveston, Brazoria, and parts of Jefferson and Orange counties. Bartie emerged from a low-turnout Democratic runoff but lacks the resources or structural advantages to overcome the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent statewide and federal contests. All major rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,444終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Randy Weber faces Democrat Thurman Bill Bartie in the November 3 general election for Texas’s 14th congressional district. The seat’s partisan composition, reflected in a Cook Political Report PVI of R+17 and Donald Trump’s 25-point margin there in 2024, underpins the 94.5% Republican implied probability. Weber secured renomination with nearly 89% of the primary vote after redistricting preserved the district’s Gulf Coast core across Galveston, Brazoria, and parts of Jefferson and Orange counties. Bartie emerged from a low-turnout Democratic runoff but lacks the resources or structural advantages to overcome the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent statewide and federal contests. All major rating firms classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問