Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district. Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the March primary, positioning the race as a potential pickup opportunity for Democrats in a South Texas district altered by 2025 redistricting. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 53% implied probability of winning, reflecting the challenger's visibility as a Tejano musician and the district's shifting demographics, while the Republican incumbent benefits from prior election margins and party infrastructure in a seat last rated competitive but still leaning Republican by forecasters. No major campaign developments have occurred since the primaries concluded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
49%
共和党
53%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,060 Vol.
49%
共和党
$1,233 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district. Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the March primary, positioning the race as a potential pickup opportunity for Democrats in a South Texas district altered by 2025 redistricting. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 53% implied probability of winning, reflecting the challenger's visibility as a Tejano musician and the district's shifting demographics, while the Republican incumbent benefits from prior election margins and party infrastructure in a seat last rated competitive but still leaning Republican by forecasters. No major campaign developments have occurred since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$2,293終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district. Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the March primary, positioning the race as a potential pickup opportunity for Democrats in a South Texas district altered by 2025 redistricting. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 53% implied probability of winning, reflecting the challenger's visibility as a Tejano musician and the district's shifting demographics, while the Republican incumbent benefits from prior election margins and party infrastructure in a seat last rated competitive but still leaning Republican by forecasters. No major campaign developments have occurred since the primaries concluded.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,293終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Monica De La Cruz faces Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido in the November 2026 general election for Texas's 15th congressional district. Pulido secured the Democratic nomination by a wide margin in the March primary, positioning the race as a potential pickup opportunity for Democrats in a South Texas district altered by 2025 redistricting. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 53% implied probability of winning, reflecting the challenger's visibility as a Tejano musician and the district's shifting demographics, while the Republican incumbent benefits from prior election margins and party infrastructure in a seat last rated competitive but still leaning Republican by forecasters. No major campaign developments have occurred since the primaries concluded.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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