California’s 26th congressional district carries a solid Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and voting patterns in Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened this advantage, shifting boundaries to favor Democrats ahead of the open-seat race following Julia Brownley’s retirement. Democrat Jacqui Irwin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Samuel Gallucci, and nonpartisan forecasts rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s structural advantages and consistent historical margins. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not appeared in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$16,426 Vol.
95%
共和党
$15,749 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district carries a solid Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and voting patterns in Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened this advantage, shifting boundaries to favor Democrats ahead of the open-seat race following Julia Brownley’s retirement. Democrat Jacqui Irwin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Samuel Gallucci, and nonpartisan forecasts rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s structural advantages and consistent historical margins. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not appeared in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$32,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 26th congressional district carries a solid Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and voting patterns in Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened this advantage, shifting boundaries to favor Democrats ahead of the open-seat race following Julia Brownley’s retirement. Democrat Jacqui Irwin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Samuel Gallucci, and nonpartisan forecasts rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s structural advantages and consistent historical margins. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not appeared in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 26th congressional district carries a solid Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its Cook Political Voting Index and voting patterns in Ventura and Los Angeles counties. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters in 2025 further strengthened this advantage, shifting boundaries to favor Democrats ahead of the open-seat race following Julia Brownley’s retirement. Democrat Jacqui Irwin advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Samuel Gallucci, and nonpartisan forecasts rate the November general election as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district’s structural advantages and consistent historical margins. A Republican victory would require substantial shifts in turnout or national conditions that have not appeared in recent cycles.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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