The district's entrenched Democratic voter registration edge and consistent partisan lean underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Julia Brownley’s retirement opened the Ventura County seat, prompting an early endorsement of state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin by the retiring incumbent and the entry of several other Democratic candidates ahead of the June 2 primary. Republican challengers, including pastor and business executive Sam Gallucci, have not mounted a competitive fundraising or organizational effort in a district that favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. While a late Republican surge, primary upset producing a weaker Democratic standard-bearer, or national political shift could narrow the margin, historical turnout patterns and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,373 Vol.
$26,373 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$26,373 Vol.
$26,373 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$14,001 Vol.
93%
共和党
$12,373 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic voter registration edge and consistent partisan lean underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Julia Brownley’s retirement opened the Ventura County seat, prompting an early endorsement of state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin by the retiring incumbent and the entry of several other Democratic candidates ahead of the June 2 primary. Republican challengers, including pastor and business executive Sam Gallucci, have not mounted a competitive fundraising or organizational effort in a district that favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. While a late Republican surge, primary upset producing a weaker Democratic standard-bearer, or national political shift could narrow the margin, historical turnout patterns and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$26,373終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic voter registration edge and consistent partisan lean underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Julia Brownley’s retirement opened the Ventura County seat, prompting an early endorsement of state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin by the retiring incumbent and the entry of several other Democratic candidates ahead of the June 2 primary. Republican challengers, including pastor and business executive Sam Gallucci, have not mounted a competitive fundraising or organizational effort in a district that favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. While a late Republican surge, primary upset producing a weaker Democratic standard-bearer, or national political shift could narrow the margin, historical turnout patterns and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,373終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic voter registration edge and consistent partisan lean underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Julia Brownley’s retirement opened the Ventura County seat, prompting an early endorsement of state Assemblymember Jacqui Irwin by the retiring incumbent and the entry of several other Democratic candidates ahead of the June 2 primary. Republican challengers, including pastor and business executive Sam Gallucci, have not mounted a competitive fundraising or organizational effort in a district that favored Democrats by double digits in recent cycles. While a late Republican surge, primary upset producing a weaker Democratic standard-bearer, or national political shift could narrow the margin, historical turnout patterns and structural advantages make such reversals unlikely before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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