**Republican nominee John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas’s 31st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election.** The twelve-term incumbent secured roughly 60 percent in the March Republican primary against a crowded field, receiving an endorsement from President Trump. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its structural Republican tilt, reinforced by the party’s strong performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Democratic nominee Justin Early won his primary but faces the same geographic and voter-composition headwinds. Trader consensus at 93 percent Republican incorporates the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the baseline. Late-cycle shifts could still occur if Carter’s age or health becomes a factor, a national Democratic surge materializes, or an unforeseen scandal emerges before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,366 Vol.
$45,366 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
$45,366 Vol.
$45,366 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$24,905 Vol.
93%
民主党
$20,461 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas’s 31st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election.** The twelve-term incumbent secured roughly 60 percent in the March Republican primary against a crowded field, receiving an endorsement from President Trump. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its structural Republican tilt, reinforced by the party’s strong performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Democratic nominee Justin Early won his primary but faces the same geographic and voter-composition headwinds. Trader consensus at 93 percent Republican incorporates the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the baseline. Late-cycle shifts could still occur if Carter’s age or health becomes a factor, a national Democratic surge materializes, or an unforeseen scandal emerges before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$45,366終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas’s 31st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election.** The twelve-term incumbent secured roughly 60 percent in the March Republican primary against a crowded field, receiving an endorsement from President Trump. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its structural Republican tilt, reinforced by the party’s strong performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Democratic nominee Justin Early won his primary but faces the same geographic and voter-composition headwinds. Trader consensus at 93 percent Republican incorporates the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the baseline. Late-cycle shifts could still occur if Carter’s age or health becomes a factor, a national Democratic surge materializes, or an unforeseen scandal emerges before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,366終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee John Carter holds a commanding position in Texas’s 31st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election.** The twelve-term incumbent secured roughly 60 percent in the March Republican primary against a crowded field, receiving an endorsement from President Trump. The district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ reflect its structural Republican tilt, reinforced by the party’s strong performance in recent presidential and statewide contests. Democratic nominee Justin Early won his primary but faces the same geographic and voter-composition headwinds. Trader consensus at 93 percent Republican incorporates the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the baseline. Late-cycle shifts could still occur if Carter’s age or health becomes a factor, a national Democratic surge materializes, or an unforeseen scandal emerges before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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