Texas' 32nd congressional district was redrawn during the 2025 legislative session to create a Republican-leaning seat, shifting it from prior Democratic control and earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. This structural change, combined with the March 2026 Republican primary where Trump-endorsed Jace Yarbrough advanced as nominee after his runoff opponent suspended, has anchored trader consensus around the GOP. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios emerged from his primary but faces the altered map's partisan tilt ahead of the November 2026 general election. No major developments have altered the race dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,076 Vol.
$26,076 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
75%
民主党
20%
$26,076 Vol.
$26,076 Vol.
2026/11/04
共和党
$25,719 Vol.
75%
民主党
$357 Vol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 32nd congressional district was redrawn during the 2025 legislative session to create a Republican-leaning seat, shifting it from prior Democratic control and earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. This structural change, combined with the March 2026 Republican primary where Trump-endorsed Jace Yarbrough advanced as nominee after his runoff opponent suspended, has anchored trader consensus around the GOP. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios emerged from his primary but faces the altered map's partisan tilt ahead of the November 2026 general election. No major developments have altered the race dynamics in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$26,076終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 32nd congressional district was redrawn during the 2025 legislative session to create a Republican-leaning seat, shifting it from prior Democratic control and earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. This structural change, combined with the March 2026 Republican primary where Trump-endorsed Jace Yarbrough advanced as nominee after his runoff opponent suspended, has anchored trader consensus around the GOP. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios emerged from his primary but faces the altered map's partisan tilt ahead of the November 2026 general election. No major developments have altered the race dynamics in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,076終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 32nd congressional district was redrawn during the 2025 legislative session to create a Republican-leaning seat, shifting it from prior Democratic control and earning Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. This structural change, combined with the March 2026 Republican primary where Trump-endorsed Jace Yarbrough advanced as nominee after his runoff opponent suspended, has anchored trader consensus around the GOP. Democratic nominee Dan Barrios emerged from his primary but faces the altered map's partisan tilt ahead of the November 2026 general election. No major developments have altered the race dynamics in recent weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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