Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 through mid-decade redistricting, shifting it from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 or stronger partisan baseline by incorporating suburban Dallas areas with heavily Republican rural East Texas territory. This structural change created an open seat after the prior incumbent moved to another district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination following a crowded March 2026 primary, while Democrat Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member, advanced from his party's primary. Expert race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. The current trader consensus aligns with these factors and the district's transformed electoral math under the new lines, with limited public polling or late developments suggesting a competitive general election on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,616 Vol.
$29,616 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
78%
民主党
21%
$29,616 Vol.
$29,616 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$27,332 Vol.
78%
民主党
$2,284 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 through mid-decade redistricting, shifting it from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 or stronger partisan baseline by incorporating suburban Dallas areas with heavily Republican rural East Texas territory. This structural change created an open seat after the prior incumbent moved to another district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination following a crowded March 2026 primary, while Democrat Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member, advanced from his party's primary. Expert race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. The current trader consensus aligns with these factors and the district's transformed electoral math under the new lines, with limited public polling or late developments suggesting a competitive general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$29,616終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 through mid-decade redistricting, shifting it from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 or stronger partisan baseline by incorporating suburban Dallas areas with heavily Republican rural East Texas territory. This structural change created an open seat after the prior incumbent moved to another district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination following a crowded March 2026 primary, while Democrat Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member, advanced from his party's primary. Expert race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. The current trader consensus aligns with these factors and the district's transformed electoral math under the new lines, with limited public polling or late developments suggesting a competitive general election on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,616終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 32nd congressional district was redrawn in 2025 through mid-decade redistricting, shifting it from a Democratic-leaning seat to one with an R+8 or stronger partisan baseline by incorporating suburban Dallas areas with heavily Republican rural East Texas territory. This structural change created an open seat after the prior incumbent moved to another district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination following a crowded March 2026 primary, while Democrat Dan Barrios, a Richardson city council member, advanced from his party's primary. Expert race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Republican. The current trader consensus aligns with these factors and the district's transformed electoral math under the new lines, with limited public polling or late developments suggesting a competitive general election on November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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