Texas's 33rd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following 2025 redistricting that increased its partisan lean, with recent statewide results showing Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in presidential voting. The March 3 primary produced a May 26 runoff between former Representative Colin Allred and incumbent Representative Julie Johnson, both established Democrats, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's urban Dallas-Fort Worth base and consistent voter patterns. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift with a major national political realignment, late candidate withdrawal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$2,553 Vol.
92%
共和党
$192 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 33rd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following 2025 redistricting that increased its partisan lean, with recent statewide results showing Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in presidential voting. The March 3 primary produced a May 26 runoff between former Representative Colin Allred and incumbent Representative Julie Johnson, both established Democrats, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's urban Dallas-Fort Worth base and consistent voter patterns. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift with a major national political realignment, late candidate withdrawal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$2,745終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 33rd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following 2025 redistricting that increased its partisan lean, with recent statewide results showing Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in presidential voting. The March 3 primary produced a May 26 runoff between former Representative Colin Allred and incumbent Representative Julie Johnson, both established Democrats, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's urban Dallas-Fort Worth base and consistent voter patterns. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift with a major national political realignment, late candidate withdrawal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,745終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 33rd congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat following 2025 redistricting that increased its partisan lean, with recent statewide results showing Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in presidential voting. The March 3 primary produced a May 26 runoff between former Representative Colin Allred and incumbent Representative Julie Johnson, both established Democrats, while Republican contenders remain low-profile with limited fundraising and name recognition. Forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's urban Dallas-Fort Worth base and consistent voter patterns. Trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with this structural advantage, though outcomes could shift with a major national political realignment, late candidate withdrawal, or unusually high Republican turnout in the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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