Texas’s 33rd congressional district, redrawn in 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting to lie entirely within Dallas County, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and a D+18 or higher Partisan Voter Index. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 runoff, positioning a former representative with substantial name recognition and fundraising against Republican Patrick Gillespie, who advanced from his party’s primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the district’s structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,384 Vol.
$15,384 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
1%
$15,384 Vol.
$15,384 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$3,085 Vol.
96%
共和党
$12,299 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 33rd congressional district, redrawn in 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting to lie entirely within Dallas County, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and a D+18 or higher Partisan Voter Index. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 runoff, positioning a former representative with substantial name recognition and fundraising against Republican Patrick Gillespie, who advanced from his party’s primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the district’s structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$15,384終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 33rd congressional district, redrawn in 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting to lie entirely within Dallas County, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and a D+18 or higher Partisan Voter Index. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 runoff, positioning a former representative with substantial name recognition and fundraising against Republican Patrick Gillespie, who advanced from his party’s primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the district’s structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,384終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 33rd congressional district, redrawn in 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting to lie entirely within Dallas County, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in recent presidential results and a D+18 or higher Partisan Voter Index. Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 runoff, positioning a former representative with substantial name recognition and fundraising against Republican Patrick Gillespie, who advanced from his party’s primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels tracks the district’s structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure, though late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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