Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez holds a narrow polling edge over Republican challenger Eric Flores in the competitive Texas 34th district race, with recent surveys showing Gonzalez ahead by roughly three points among likely voters. The South Texas seat, redrawn after the 2024 cycle to favor Republicans by about three points on the partisan voter index, remains a toss-up according to multiple forecasters. Gonzalez secured his nomination comfortably in the March primary, while Flores prevailed in the Republican contest over former representative Mayra Flores. With the November general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the incumbent’s modest advantage in available polling data and the typical challenges challengers face in flipping House seats this close to Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
74%
共和党
24%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,335 Vol.
74%
共和党
$2,052 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez holds a narrow polling edge over Republican challenger Eric Flores in the competitive Texas 34th district race, with recent surveys showing Gonzalez ahead by roughly three points among likely voters. The South Texas seat, redrawn after the 2024 cycle to favor Republicans by about three points on the partisan voter index, remains a toss-up according to multiple forecasters. Gonzalez secured his nomination comfortably in the March primary, while Flores prevailed in the Republican contest over former representative Mayra Flores. With the November general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the incumbent’s modest advantage in available polling data and the typical challenges challengers face in flipping House seats this close to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$7,387終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez holds a narrow polling edge over Republican challenger Eric Flores in the competitive Texas 34th district race, with recent surveys showing Gonzalez ahead by roughly three points among likely voters. The South Texas seat, redrawn after the 2024 cycle to favor Republicans by about three points on the partisan voter index, remains a toss-up according to multiple forecasters. Gonzalez secured his nomination comfortably in the March primary, while Flores prevailed in the Republican contest over former representative Mayra Flores. With the November general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the incumbent’s modest advantage in available polling data and the typical challenges challengers face in flipping House seats this close to Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-34 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,387終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Vicente Gonzalez holds a narrow polling edge over Republican challenger Eric Flores in the competitive Texas 34th district race, with recent surveys showing Gonzalez ahead by roughly three points among likely voters. The South Texas seat, redrawn after the 2024 cycle to favor Republicans by about three points on the partisan voter index, remains a toss-up according to multiple forecasters. Gonzalez secured his nomination comfortably in the March primary, while Flores prevailed in the Republican contest over former representative Mayra Flores. With the November general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the incumbent’s modest advantage in available polling data and the typical challenges challengers face in flipping House seats this close to Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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