Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat with an R+7 partisan voter index and a history of Republican presidential margins, including a 14-point Trump win in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates and Stauber’s prior victories. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 11 primary, while Stauber faces a primary challenger but holds strong fundraising and positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout could still influence the final result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,793 Vol.
$14,793 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
74%
民主党
27%
$14,793 Vol.
$14,793 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,543 Vol.
74%
民主党
$7,250 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat with an R+7 partisan voter index and a history of Republican presidential margins, including a 14-point Trump win in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates and Stauber’s prior victories. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 11 primary, while Stauber faces a primary challenger but holds strong fundraising and positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$14,793終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat with an R+7 partisan voter index and a history of Republican presidential margins, including a 14-point Trump win in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates and Stauber’s prior victories. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 11 primary, while Stauber faces a primary challenger but holds strong fundraising and positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout could still influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,793終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat with an R+7 partisan voter index and a history of Republican presidential margins, including a 14-point Trump win in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent support for GOP candidates and Stauber’s prior victories. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 11 primary, while Stauber faces a primary challenger but holds strong fundraising and positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome aligns with these structural and incumbency advantages, though the primary outcomes and any late shifts in turnout could still influence the final result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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