Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s Iron Range and northern rural base has supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including Stauber’s 2024 victory. Both parties hold primaries on August 11, with multiple Democrats competing and Stauber facing a primary challenger. National generic ballot trends showing a Democratic edge have not shifted local positioning in this Republican-leaning district. Trader consensus prices the Republican outcome at 74 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and past voting patterns while leaving room for broader midterm dynamics to influence the final result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,789 Vol.
$14,789 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
75%
民主党
26%
$14,789 Vol.
$14,789 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,538 Vol.
75%
民主党
$7,250 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s Iron Range and northern rural base has supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including Stauber’s 2024 victory. Both parties hold primaries on August 11, with multiple Democrats competing and Stauber facing a primary challenger. National generic ballot trends showing a Democratic edge have not shifted local positioning in this Republican-leaning district. Trader consensus prices the Republican outcome at 74 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and past voting patterns while leaving room for broader midterm dynamics to influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$14,789終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s Iron Range and northern rural base has supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including Stauber’s 2024 victory. Both parties hold primaries on August 11, with multiple Democrats competing and Stauber facing a primary challenger. National generic ballot trends showing a Democratic edge have not shifted local positioning in this Republican-leaning district. Trader consensus prices the Republican outcome at 74 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and past voting patterns while leaving room for broader midterm dynamics to influence the final result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,789終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Stauber seeks re-election in Minnesota’s 8th congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by forecasters ahead of the November 2026 general election. The district’s Iron Range and northern rural base has supported Republican candidates in recent cycles, including Stauber’s 2024 victory. Both parties hold primaries on August 11, with multiple Democrats competing and Stauber facing a primary challenger. National generic ballot trends showing a Democratic edge have not shifted local positioning in this Republican-leaning district. Trader consensus prices the Republican outcome at 74 percent, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency and past voting patterns while leaving room for broader midterm dynamics to influence the final result.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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