Minnesota's 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and delivered a 16-point Republican victory in 2024, establishing a structural advantage that underpins trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Pete Stauber faces a Republican primary challenge but enters the general election cycle with established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general. Democratic contenders, including DFL-endorsed Trina Swanson, remain in early primary stages with limited visibility. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the balance. The current pricing reflects these baseline factors rather than any decisive recent catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,787 Vol.
$14,787 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
74%
民主党
26%
$14,787 Vol.
$14,787 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$7,537 Vol.
74%
民主党
$7,250 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and delivered a 16-point Republican victory in 2024, establishing a structural advantage that underpins trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Pete Stauber faces a Republican primary challenge but enters the general election cycle with established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general. Democratic contenders, including DFL-endorsed Trina Swanson, remain in early primary stages with limited visibility. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the balance. The current pricing reflects these baseline factors rather than any decisive recent catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$14,787終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and delivered a 16-point Republican victory in 2024, establishing a structural advantage that underpins trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Pete Stauber faces a Republican primary challenge but enters the general election cycle with established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general. Democratic contenders, including DFL-endorsed Trina Swanson, remain in early primary stages with limited visibility. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the balance. The current pricing reflects these baseline factors rather than any decisive recent catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,787終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 8th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and delivered a 16-point Republican victory in 2024, establishing a structural advantage that underpins trader consensus for the Republican nominee. Incumbent Pete Stauber faces a Republican primary challenge but enters the general election cycle with established fundraising and name recognition ahead of the August 11 primary and November 3 general. Democratic contenders, including DFL-endorsed Trina Swanson, remain in early primary stages with limited visibility. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, and no major polling shifts or late developments have altered the balance. The current pricing reflects these baseline factors rather than any decisive recent catalyst.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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