Maryland’s 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs outside Washington, D.C., has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates, including incumbent Jamie Raskin’s 76.8 percent victory in 2024. Raskin faces a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, while Republicans field multiple challengers in their own primary, yet the seat remains rated solidly Democratic with minimal reported opposition spending or polling movement. The absence of competitive Republican fundraising or high-profile candidates reinforces trader consensus around a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate health event, or national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors including district demographics and historical voting patterns limit realistic pathways for a Republican victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
9%
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$6,455 Vol.
92%
共和党
$8,232 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs outside Washington, D.C., has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates, including incumbent Jamie Raskin’s 76.8 percent victory in 2024. Raskin faces a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, while Republicans field multiple challengers in their own primary, yet the seat remains rated solidly Democratic with minimal reported opposition spending or polling movement. The absence of competitive Republican fundraising or high-profile candidates reinforces trader consensus around a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate health event, or national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors including district demographics and historical voting patterns limit realistic pathways for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$14,688終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs outside Washington, D.C., has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates, including incumbent Jamie Raskin’s 76.8 percent victory in 2024. Raskin faces a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, while Republicans field multiple challengers in their own primary, yet the seat remains rated solidly Democratic with minimal reported opposition spending or polling movement. The absence of competitive Republican fundraising or high-profile candidates reinforces trader consensus around a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate health event, or national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors including district demographics and historical voting patterns limit realistic pathways for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,688終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs outside Washington, D.C., has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates, including incumbent Jamie Raskin’s 76.8 percent victory in 2024. Raskin faces a crowded Democratic primary on June 23, 2026, while Republicans field multiple challengers in their own primary, yet the seat remains rated solidly Democratic with minimal reported opposition spending or polling movement. The absence of competitive Republican fundraising or high-profile candidates reinforces trader consensus around a Democratic hold in the November 3 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected primary upset, candidate health event, or national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors including district demographics and historical voting patterns limit realistic pathways for a Republican victory.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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