Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 8th congressional district with over 92 percent of the primary vote on June 23, 2026, facing minimal opposition. The solidly Democratic district, centered in Montgomery County, has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Raskin’s substantial fundraising advantage—exceeding $7 million with millions in cash on hand—contrasts sharply with the Republican nominee Cheryl Riley’s limited resources under $20,000 raised. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,431 Vol.
$27,431 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$27,431 Vol.
$27,431 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$18,904 Vol.
96%
共和党
$8,528 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 8th congressional district with over 92 percent of the primary vote on June 23, 2026, facing minimal opposition. The solidly Democratic district, centered in Montgomery County, has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Raskin’s substantial fundraising advantage—exceeding $7 million with millions in cash on hand—contrasts sharply with the Republican nominee Cheryl Riley’s limited resources under $20,000 raised. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$27,431終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 8th congressional district with over 92 percent of the primary vote on June 23, 2026, facing minimal opposition. The solidly Democratic district, centered in Montgomery County, has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Raskin’s substantial fundraising advantage—exceeding $7 million with millions in cash on hand—contrasts sharply with the Republican nominee Cheryl Riley’s limited resources under $20,000 raised. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,431終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jamie Raskin secured the Democratic nomination in Maryland’s 8th congressional district with over 92 percent of the primary vote on June 23, 2026, facing minimal opposition. The solidly Democratic district, centered in Montgomery County, has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Raskin’s substantial fundraising advantage—exceeding $7 million with millions in cash on hand—contrasts sharply with the Republican nominee Cheryl Riley’s limited resources under $20,000 raised. Multiple nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問