Maryland’s 7th congressional district, centered on Baltimore and its suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against challengers, while Republican Scott Collier advanced unopposed. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 97 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and limited crossover support. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate-specific scandal or health event that alters voter behavior in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$15,273 Vol.
97%
共和党
$9,125 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, centered on Baltimore and its suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against challengers, while Republican Scott Collier advanced unopposed. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 97 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and limited crossover support. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate-specific scandal or health event that alters voter behavior in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$24,398終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, centered on Baltimore and its suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against challengers, while Republican Scott Collier advanced unopposed. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 97 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and limited crossover support. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate-specific scandal or health event that alters voter behavior in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,398終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, centered on Baltimore and its suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in its D+31 PVI and consistent large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Kweisi Mfume secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote against challengers, while Republican Scott Collier advanced unopposed. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus near 97 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors, including historical turnout patterns and limited crossover support. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a major candidate-specific scandal or health event that alters voter behavior in the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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