Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in New York's 22nd district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 that he flipped in 2024. Both party primaries were canceled ahead of the June 23 date, confirming Mannion and Republican Kailee Buller as the general-election nominees for November 3. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the incumbent's structural advantages and limited competition. Trader pricing at 55.5% for Democrats versus 41% for Republicans aligns with the district's modest partisan lean while incorporating national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the margin depending on turnout patterns and late-cycle developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
58%
共和党
44%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$866 Vol.
58%
共和党
$807 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in New York's 22nd district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 that he flipped in 2024. Both party primaries were canceled ahead of the June 23 date, confirming Mannion and Republican Kailee Buller as the general-election nominees for November 3. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the incumbent's structural advantages and limited competition. Trader pricing at 55.5% for Democrats versus 41% for Republicans aligns with the district's modest partisan lean while incorporating national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the margin depending on turnout patterns and late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$1,673終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in New York's 22nd district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 that he flipped in 2024. Both party primaries were canceled ahead of the June 23 date, confirming Mannion and Republican Kailee Buller as the general-election nominees for November 3. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the incumbent's structural advantages and limited competition. Trader pricing at 55.5% for Democrats versus 41% for Republicans aligns with the district's modest partisan lean while incorporating national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the margin depending on turnout patterns and late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,673終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge in New York's 22nd district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4 that he flipped in 2024. Both party primaries were canceled ahead of the June 23 date, confirming Mannion and Republican Kailee Buller as the general-election nominees for November 3. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the incumbent's structural advantages and limited competition. Trader pricing at 55.5% for Democrats versus 41% for Republicans aligns with the district's modest partisan lean while incorporating national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the margin depending on turnout patterns and late-cycle developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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