Kentucky's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with its northeastern location and voter base producing consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, backed by an endorsement from President Trump and substantial outside spending. Democrat Melissa Strange won her party's primary on the same date. These results have shaped trader consensus around the general election on November 3, where the Republican nominee holds a clear structural advantage in a district rated R+18. No major late developments have altered the race fundamentals since the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,586 Vol.
$29,586 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
90%
民主党
11%
$29,586 Vol.
$29,586 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$23,521 Vol.
90%
民主党
$6,065 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with its northeastern location and voter base producing consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, backed by an endorsement from President Trump and substantial outside spending. Democrat Melissa Strange won her party's primary on the same date. These results have shaped trader consensus around the general election on November 3, where the Republican nominee holds a clear structural advantage in a district rated R+18. No major late developments have altered the race fundamentals since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$29,586終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with its northeastern location and voter base producing consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, backed by an endorsement from President Trump and substantial outside spending. Democrat Melissa Strange won her party's primary on the same date. These results have shaped trader consensus around the general election on November 3, where the Republican nominee holds a clear structural advantage in a district rated R+18. No major late developments have altered the race fundamentals since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,586終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 4th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with its northeastern location and voter base producing consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Ed Gallrein secured the Republican nomination in the May 19 primary by defeating longtime incumbent Thomas Massie, backed by an endorsement from President Trump and substantial outside spending. Democrat Melissa Strange won her party's primary on the same date. These results have shaped trader consensus around the general election on November 3, where the Republican nominee holds a clear structural advantage in a district rated R+18. No major late developments have altered the race fundamentals since the primaries.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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