Ralph Alvarado holds a strong lead in the open Kentucky 6th District race, reflecting the seat’s Republican tilt after Andy Barr vacated it to run for Senate. The district backed Trump by 15 points in 2024, and Alvarado secured the GOP nomination with a Trump endorsement and primary victory over several challengers. Recent super PAC activity has intensified the contest, with a Beshear-aligned group spending $250,000 on ads tying Alvarado to former Gov. Matt Bevin’s pardons and Medicaid positions, while a Trump-linked PAC countered with nearly $300,000 in support for Alvarado and attacks on Democrat Zach Dembo. Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor endorsed by Beshear, has narrowed the gap in some internal polls to near ties, yet forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Traders price in the district fundamentals and Alvarado’s organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,227 Vol.
$35,227 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラルフ・アルバラド（共和党）
74%
ザック・デンボ（民主党）
26%
$35,227 Vol.
$35,227 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラルフ・アルバラド（共和党）
$15,234 Vol.
74%
ザック・デンボ（民主党）
$19,993 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado holds a strong lead in the open Kentucky 6th District race, reflecting the seat’s Republican tilt after Andy Barr vacated it to run for Senate. The district backed Trump by 15 points in 2024, and Alvarado secured the GOP nomination with a Trump endorsement and primary victory over several challengers. Recent super PAC activity has intensified the contest, with a Beshear-aligned group spending $250,000 on ads tying Alvarado to former Gov. Matt Bevin’s pardons and Medicaid positions, while a Trump-linked PAC countered with nearly $300,000 in support for Alvarado and attacks on Democrat Zach Dembo. Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor endorsed by Beshear, has narrowed the gap in some internal polls to near ties, yet forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Traders price in the district fundamentals and Alvarado’s organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$35,227終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ralph Alvarado holds a strong lead in the open Kentucky 6th District race, reflecting the seat’s Republican tilt after Andy Barr vacated it to run for Senate. The district backed Trump by 15 points in 2024, and Alvarado secured the GOP nomination with a Trump endorsement and primary victory over several challengers. Recent super PAC activity has intensified the contest, with a Beshear-aligned group spending $250,000 on ads tying Alvarado to former Gov. Matt Bevin’s pardons and Medicaid positions, while a Trump-linked PAC countered with nearly $300,000 in support for Alvarado and attacks on Democrat Zach Dembo. Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor endorsed by Beshear, has narrowed the gap in some internal polls to near ties, yet forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Traders price in the district fundamentals and Alvarado’s organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,227終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Ralph Alvarado holds a strong lead in the open Kentucky 6th District race, reflecting the seat’s Republican tilt after Andy Barr vacated it to run for Senate. The district backed Trump by 15 points in 2024, and Alvarado secured the GOP nomination with a Trump endorsement and primary victory over several challengers. Recent super PAC activity has intensified the contest, with a Beshear-aligned group spending $250,000 on ads tying Alvarado to former Gov. Matt Bevin’s pardons and Medicaid positions, while a Trump-linked PAC countered with nearly $300,000 in support for Alvarado and attacks on Democrat Zach Dembo. Dembo, a Navy veteran and former federal prosecutor endorsed by Beshear, has narrowed the gap in some internal polls to near ties, yet forecasters rate the race Likely Republican. Traders price in the district fundamentals and Alvarado’s organizational advantages heading into the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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