Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,519 Vol.
$26,519 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
57%
民主党
40%
$26,519 Vol.
$26,519 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,297 Vol.
57%
民主党
$16,221 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$26,519終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,519終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a Republican-leaning seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around R+7, where Donald Trump previously carried the area by double digits. Incumbent Andy Barr's decision to run for Senate created an open race, but primary results on May 19 produced Republican nominee Ralph Alvarado and Democratic nominee Zach Dembo as the general election contenders for November 3. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's voting patterns and limited Democratic path even in a midterm environment. Recent polling before the primaries showed narrow margins in head-to-head matchups, yet the structural advantages and post-primary consolidation have sustained trader consensus around the Republican outcome at 57.5 percent. No major new developments have shifted the balance in the past month.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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