Republican Ralph Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo emerged as nominees after Kentucky’s May 19 primaries in the open KY-06 seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr’s Senate bid. The district, which includes Lexington and surrounding central Kentucky counties, carries a Republican lean reflected in recent presidential results and historical voting patterns. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan voting index and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors while leaving room for shifts from general-election developments such as turnout patterns or late campaign dynamics before the November 3 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$26,112 Vol.
$26,112 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
56%
民主党
35%
$26,112 Vol.
$26,112 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,034 Vol.
56%
民主党
$16,078 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo emerged as nominees after Kentucky’s May 19 primaries in the open KY-06 seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr’s Senate bid. The district, which includes Lexington and surrounding central Kentucky counties, carries a Republican lean reflected in recent presidential results and historical voting patterns. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan voting index and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors while leaving room for shifts from general-election developments such as turnout patterns or late campaign dynamics before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$26,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Ralph Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo emerged as nominees after Kentucky’s May 19 primaries in the open KY-06 seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr’s Senate bid. The district, which includes Lexington and surrounding central Kentucky counties, carries a Republican lean reflected in recent presidential results and historical voting patterns. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan voting index and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors while leaving room for shifts from general-election developments such as turnout patterns or late campaign dynamics before the November 3 vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$26,112終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Ralph Alvarado and Democrat Zach Dembo emerged as nominees after Kentucky’s May 19 primaries in the open KY-06 seat vacated by Rep. Andy Barr’s Senate bid. The district, which includes Lexington and surrounding central Kentucky counties, carries a Republican lean reflected in recent presidential results and historical voting patterns. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Republican or Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan voting index and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Trader consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors while leaving room for shifts from general-election developments such as turnout patterns or late campaign dynamics before the November 3 vote.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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