Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers secured his party's nomination in Kentucky's 5th congressional district with 77 percent of the May primary vote and now faces Democrat Ned Pillersdorf plus independents in the November general election. The rural eastern Kentucky district's longstanding Republican tilt, combined with Rogers' decades of incumbency and consistent large reelection margins, underpins trader consensus near 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from a major national partisan swing, an unexpected health or scandal-related development involving the 88-year-old Rogers, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a low-profile race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,923 Vol.
$19,923 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$19,923 Vol.
$19,923 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$16,575 Vol.
94%
民主党
$3,347 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers secured his party's nomination in Kentucky's 5th congressional district with 77 percent of the May primary vote and now faces Democrat Ned Pillersdorf plus independents in the November general election. The rural eastern Kentucky district's longstanding Republican tilt, combined with Rogers' decades of incumbency and consistent large reelection margins, underpins trader consensus near 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from a major national partisan swing, an unexpected health or scandal-related development involving the 88-year-old Rogers, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a low-profile race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$19,923終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers secured his party's nomination in Kentucky's 5th congressional district with 77 percent of the May primary vote and now faces Democrat Ned Pillersdorf plus independents in the November general election. The rural eastern Kentucky district's longstanding Republican tilt, combined with Rogers' decades of incumbency and consistent large reelection margins, underpins trader consensus near 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from a major national partisan swing, an unexpected health or scandal-related development involving the 88-year-old Rogers, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a low-profile race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,923終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Hal Rogers secured his party's nomination in Kentucky's 5th congressional district with 77 percent of the May primary vote and now faces Democrat Ned Pillersdorf plus independents in the November general election. The rural eastern Kentucky district's longstanding Republican tilt, combined with Rogers' decades of incumbency and consistent large reelection margins, underpins trader consensus near 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee. Limited Democratic infrastructure and the absence of competitive polling further reinforce this positioning. Potential shifts could arise from a major national partisan swing, an unexpected health or scandal-related development involving the 88-year-old Rogers, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a low-profile race.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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