California's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House results. Incumbent Kevin Mullin, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 73 percent in the prior cycle, faces multiple Democratic primary challengers and one Republican on June 2 under the state's top-two system. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with Mullin's fundraising advantage and local visibility reinforcing his position ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's structural leanings and limited competitive opposition, though a national Republican surge or primary upset producing an unusually strong general-election challenger could narrow margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$116,213 Vol.
$116,213 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
96%
共和党
4%
$116,213 Vol.
$116,213 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$92,679 Vol.
96%
共和党
$23,534 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House results. Incumbent Kevin Mullin, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 73 percent in the prior cycle, faces multiple Democratic primary challengers and one Republican on June 2 under the state's top-two system. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with Mullin's fundraising advantage and local visibility reinforcing his position ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's structural leanings and limited competitive opposition, though a national Republican surge or primary upset producing an unusually strong general-election challenger could narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$116,213終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House results. Incumbent Kevin Mullin, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 73 percent in the prior cycle, faces multiple Democratic primary challengers and one Republican on June 2 under the state's top-two system. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with Mullin's fundraising advantage and local visibility reinforcing his position ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's structural leanings and limited competitive opposition, though a national Republican surge or primary upset producing an unusually strong general-election challenger could narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$116,213終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 15th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House results. Incumbent Kevin Mullin, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 73 percent in the prior cycle, faces multiple Democratic primary challengers and one Republican on June 2 under the state's top-two system. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with Mullin's fundraising advantage and local visibility reinforcing his position ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district's structural leanings and limited competitive opposition, though a national Republican surge or primary upset producing an unusually strong general-election challenger could narrow margins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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