Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark Takano faces Republican challenger Steve Manos in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 39th congressional district, with the general election set for November 3. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly seven points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic. Takano's established fundraising and name recognition in this Inland Empire seat contribute to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican general-election victory would require an unusually large national swing or primary surprise that alters the top-two matchup, neither of which has materialized in recent polling or ratings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$34,260 Vol.
$34,260 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
91%
共和党
7%
$34,260 Vol.
$34,260 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$26,631 Vol.
91%
共和党
$7,629 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark Takano faces Republican challenger Steve Manos in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 39th congressional district, with the general election set for November 3. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly seven points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic. Takano's established fundraising and name recognition in this Inland Empire seat contribute to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican general-election victory would require an unusually large national swing or primary surprise that alters the top-two matchup, neither of which has materialized in recent polling or ratings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$34,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark Takano faces Republican challenger Steve Manos in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 39th congressional district, with the general election set for November 3. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly seven points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic. Takano's established fundraising and name recognition in this Inland Empire seat contribute to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican general-election victory would require an unusually large national swing or primary surprise that alters the top-two matchup, neither of which has materialized in recent polling or ratings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$34,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark Takano faces Republican challenger Steve Manos in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 39th congressional district, with the general election set for November 3. The district's partisan voting index favors Democrats by roughly seven points, and nonpartisan forecasters rate the race solid or safe Democratic. Takano's established fundraising and name recognition in this Inland Empire seat contribute to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A Republican general-election victory would require an unusually large national swing or primary surprise that alters the top-two matchup, neither of which has materialized in recent polling or ratings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問